Dalian Zhixing vs Shenyang Urban Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Shenyang Urban
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win against Shenyang Urban, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian currently sits in a strong third place in the league, having accumulated 28 points from 18 matches with a record of nine wins, one draw, and eight losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -4, their recent form shows promise, with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five matches. This indicates a competitive edge as they aim to solidify their position in the top tier. On the other hand, Shenyang Urban occupies ninth place in the standings, with 21 points from 19 matches, which includes six wins, three draws, and ten losses. Their goal difference of -6 reflects struggles defensively, and their recent form has been disappointing with only one win in their last five matches, alongside three losses. This lack of consistency may hinder their ability to challenge Dalian in this matchup. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 58% for Dalian Zhixing, with the scoreline forecasted at 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Dalian's defensive vulnerabilities, given they have conceded 32 goals this season, which could allow Shenyang to capitalize on any mistakes. For a detailed explanation of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.2% probability.
Dalian Zhixing have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Dalian Zhixing win as the most likely scoreline at 13.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Dalian Zhixing are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Shenyang Urban| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.45 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 1.64 | 4.15 | 4.40 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.68 | 4.37 | 4.57 | 1.54 | 2.54 | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 3.71 | 4.17 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.67 | 4.32 | 4.63 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.52 | 2.37 | |
| 1.68 | 3.95 | 4.25 | 1.45 | 2.48 | 1.47 | 2.43 | |
| 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.35 | 1.52 | 2.45 | 1.55 | 2.32 |
Superbet | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.35 | 1.51 | 2.40 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Dalian Zhixing leads 2-1)In the last three encounters between Dalian Zhixing and Shenyang Urban, Dalian Zhixing has won 2 matches while Shenyang Urban has secured 1 victory, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with two of the matches ending with a one-goal margin, highlighting the potential for tight contests. Notably, Shenyang Urban's last win against Dalian Zhixing was in September 2024, suggesting a recent trend where Dalian Zhixing has had the edge overall. The matches reflect a mix of narrow and slightly higher-scoring outcomes, indicating that while victories have been achieved, they have not been overwhelmingly one-sided.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Shenyang Urban | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian Zhixing have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Shenyang Urban 1-0 and beat Shandong Luneng 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 14L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shenyang Urban have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shenyang Urban 1-0 and drew with Beijing Guoan 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 13L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDalian Zhixing4-2-3-1Confirmed
Shenyang Urban4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dalian Zhixing have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Shenyang Urban 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dalian Zhixing have generated 2.03 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dalian Zhixing player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
