Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua
Match Preview
The model favours Shanghai Shenhua to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 11th place, Shanghai Shenhua has shown a solid season performance with eight wins and five draws from 19 matches. Their goal difference of +5 indicates a more balanced attack and defence compared to their opponent. Despite some fluctuations in recent form, they have secured three victories in their last five outings, suggesting a positive trajectory. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon finds themselves at the bottom of the standings in 16th place, with just 14 points from 20 matches. Their recent form has been concerning, marked by four consecutive losses and only one draw in their last five matches. With a goal difference of -8, they struggle defensively, having conceded more goals than they have scored. This trend points to significant challenges ahead as they face a more competitive Shanghai Shenhua. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Shanghai Shenhua, with a projected score of 2-1. However, if Qingdao Jonoon manages to convert their chances or if Shenhua's recent inconsistency resurfaces, the match could take an unexpected turn. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.2% probability.
Shanghai Shenhua have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua win as the most likely scoreline at 12.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Shanghai Shenhua are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.25 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.67 | 1.44 | 2.60 | — | — | |
| 4.37 | 4.23 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 2.70 | — | — | |
| 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 4.38 | 4.33 | 1.70 | 1.44 | 2.72 | 1.44 | 2.58 | |
| 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 | — | — | — | — | |
Betano | 4.25 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Shanghai Shenhua leads 9-0)In the last nine matches between Qingdao Jonoon and Shanghai Shenhua, Shanghai Shenhua has won all nine, resulting in a clear dominance in this rivalry. The scorelines indicate a mix of close contests, with three matches ending by a single goal, but also include a notable 4-1 victory. There have been no draws, highlighting a consistent winning trend for Shanghai Shenhua. Qingdao Jonoon has not secured a win against Shanghai Shenhua in these encounters, with their last match resulting in a 0-1 loss. Overall, the head-to-head record reflects a one-sided affair in favor of Shanghai Shenhua.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 45 | DDDDD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 29 | DLWWL |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 28 | LWDLW |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 28 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 27 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 14 | LLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Jonoon have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 0-2 and drew with Chengdu Better City 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shanghai Shenhua have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 and beat Dalian Zhixing 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 11L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Shanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Shanghai Shenhua 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shanghai Shenhua have generated 1.41 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shanghai Shenhua player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
