Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Brann vs Apollon Limassol Prediction, Tips & Odds

Brann vs Apollon Limassol

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Brann
WLWWL
0 - 1
Brann Stadion, Bergen
Referee: D. Kos
Apollon Limassol
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.72
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.8%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 62.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.3% vs 59.8%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Brann to win against Apollon Limassol, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann has shown resilience recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their form suggests a strong home advantage, particularly in high-stakes matches such as this one. On the other hand, Apollon Limassol is in impressive form, having won four of their last five matches, with one draw. Their unbeaten streak indicates a solid level of performance, which could pose a challenge to Brann. However, their recent success does not overshadow the importance of the away fixture, where they may face different dynamics. The model output indicates a win probability in favour of Brann, reflecting their recent home form and overall season trajectory. A key market percentage to watch is the likelihood of Brann scoring at least two goals. One caveat to consider is that if Apollon Limassol manages to maintain their current unbeaten run, they could easily disrupt Brann's plans. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Brann Win53%1.60
Draw21%3.95
Apollon Limassol Win27%4.91
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7056.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6756.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Brann 1-1 Apollon Limassol
6.9314.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Brann -0.5
1.5647%

Brann have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.93
14.6%
1-0
7.06
14.3%
2-1
7.15
14.2%
2-0
7.55
13.4%
3-1
11.01
9.3%
3-0
11.41
8.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Brann clean sheets, in line with their 3% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Brann
-0.0
1.23
Apollon Limassol
+0.0
3.70
Brann
-0.5
1.56
Apollon Limassol
+0.5
4.63
Brann
-1.5
2.88
Apollon Limassol
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Brann vs Apollon Limassol
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.584.104.651.672.151.672.00
Marathonbet
1.594.054.951.672.151.682.03
Betfair
1.603.804.751.602.201.622.20
Pinnacle
1.604.074.781.672.18
SBO
1.543.624.531.682.11
William Hill
1.623.804.801.702.05
Bet365
1.624.005.001.672.151.801.91
1xBet
1.644.195.121.702.201.682.06
Unibet
1.573.955.301.721.961.771.90
888Sport
1.623.804.801.672.101.702.05
Betano
1.604.005.001.702.121.722.00
Superbet
1.614.004.901.672.071.741.97
BetVictor
1.574.005.251.652.061.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBrann or Draw
73%1.14
12Brann or Apollon Limassol
79%1.21
X2Draw or Apollon Limassol
47%2.22

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Apollon Limassol leads 1-0)
0 Brann0 Draw1 Apollon Limassol
05 Aug
Brann
0-1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only past encounter, Apollon Limassol won against Brann with a score of 1-0. This result indicates a tightly contested match, with Apollon Limassol securing a narrow victory. The absence of draws and the single win suggests that there is limited historical data to analyze. As it stands, Brann has not yet managed to secure a victory against Apollon Limassol.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BrannApollon Limassol
1.91Goals p.g.1.62
1.66Goals conceded p.g.0.85
3%Clean sheets62%
40%Win rate62%
3.57Avg goals in match2.46
1.50xG per game
-0.21xGA per game
59%Possession %
4.5Shots on target / game
5.2Corners per game
Brann
Recent Form

Brann have won 7 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Brann 0-1 and beat Brann 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 15L from the last 35 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BrannAll competitions
11 Aug
Apollon Limassol
2-4
Brann
UEFA Europa Conference League
05 Aug
Brann
0-1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Brann
3-2
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
30 Jul
Brann
3-1
Universitatea Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
Brann
2-3
Valerenga
Eliteserien
23 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2-2
Brann
UEFA Europa Conference League
14
Win
40%
6
Draw
17%
15
Lost
43%
Apollon Limassol
Recent Form

Apollon Limassol have won 4 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Apollon Limassol 0-1 and beat Dila 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 3L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Apollon LimassolAll competitions
05 Aug
Brann
0-1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Utrecht
0-1
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
62%
2
Draw
15%
3
Lost
23%

Lineups

Confirmed

Brann4-3-3Confirmed

17Joachim SoltvedtDEF
23Thore PedersenDEF
3Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenDEF
21Denzel De RoeveDEF
29Noah Jean HolmFWD
9Niklas CastroFWD
1Mathias DyngelandGK
10Kristall Máni IngasonMID
18Jacob Lungi SørensenMID
19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonMID
16Kristian EriksenMID
20Vetle DragsnesDEF
6Cheick Mbacke DiopDEF
22Sævar Atli MagnússonFWD
26Rabbi MatondoFWD
11Bård FinneFWD
12Simen Vidtun NilsenGK
36Håkon Melås HellesøyGK
32Markus HaalandMID
25Niklas Jensen WassbergMID

Apollon Limassol4-3-3Confirmed

44Josef KvidaDEF
76Bruno GasparDEF
14Giorgos MalekkidisDEF
37Leonidas KonomisDEF
30Dani EscricheFWD
9Alen OžboltFWD
22Philipp KühnGK
27Gaetan WeissbeckMID
5Morgan BrownMID
77Ivan LjubićMID
23Brandon ThomasMID
38Konstantinos BalogiannisDEF
26Antreas ShikkisDEF
19Nearchos ZinonosDEF
4Emanuel AiwuDEF
89Robertos RotisFWD
41Peter LeeuwenburghGK
10Garry RodriguesMID
11Evangelos AndreouMID
18Andreas AthanasiouMID
20Danilo ŠpoljarićMID
17Clinton DuoduMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Brann

No reported absences

Apollon Limassol

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (56.8%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (56.6%)
Value Bets
Brann Win1.60 (52.6%)
Apollon Limassol Win4.91 (26.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (43.2%)
BTTS No2.02 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.95 (20.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Kos has averaged 0.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Brann average 1.9 goals per match at home; Apollon Limassol 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Brann have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.