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Brann vs Apollon Limassol Prediction, Tips & Odds

Brann vs Apollon Limassol

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Brann
WWLDW
VS
Brann Stadion, Bergen
Apollon Limassol
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.91
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 58.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.72). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (58.0% vs 55.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Brann to win against Apollon Limassol, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann has shown resilience recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their form suggests a strong home advantage, particularly in high-stakes matches such as this one. On the other hand, Apollon Limassol is in impressive form, having won four of their last five matches, with one draw. Their unbeaten streak indicates a solid level of performance, which could pose a challenge to Brann. However, their recent success does not overshadow the importance of the away fixture, where they may face different dynamics. The model output indicates a win probability in favour of Brann, reflecting their recent home form and overall season trajectory. A key market percentage to watch is the likelihood of Brann scoring at least two goals. One caveat to consider is that if Apollon Limassol manages to maintain their current unbeaten run, they could easily disrupt Brann's plans. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as it utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Brann Win52%1.64
Draw21%3.75
Apollon Limassol Win27%4.76
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8055.4%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8254.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Brann 1-0 Apollon Limassol
6.3815.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Brann -0.5
1.6246%

Brann have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
6.38
15.7%
1-1
6.66
15.1%
2-0
7.23
13.9%
2-1
7.33
13.8%
0-0
10.13
10.0%
3-0
11.50
8.8%

Our model projects a 1-0 Brann win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Brann clean sheets, in line with their 3% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Brann
-0.0
1.23
Apollon Limassol
+0.0
3.65
Brann
-0.5
1.62
Apollon Limassol
+0.5
4.33
Brann
-1.5
2.88
Apollon Limassol
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Brann vs Apollon Limassol
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.643.754.751.831.911.801.85
Marathonbet
1.623.825.051.801.961.781.90
Betfair
1.623.754.601.802.00
Pinnacle
1.643.784.481.791.99
SBO
1.583.394.221.781.98
William Hill
1.653.604.801.752.00
Bet365
1.623.804.751.951.851.911.80
1xBet
1.673.965.231.842.001.781.93
Unibet
1.663.854.701.801.871.791.88
888Sport
1.653.604.801.751.951.752.00
Betano
1.653.854.901.871.911.851.85
Superbet
1.663.804.801.831.871.831.87
BetVictor
1.623.754.801.791.881.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBrann or Draw
73%1.15
12Brann or Apollon Limassol
79%1.23
X2Draw or Apollon Limassol
48%2.16

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BrannApollon Limassol
1.91Goals p.g.1.67
1.67Goals conceded p.g.0.92
3%Clean sheets58%
39%Win rate58%
3.58Avg goals in match2.58
1.50xG per game
-0.21xGA per game
59%Possession %
4.5Shots on target / game
5.2Corners per game
Brann
Recent Form

Brann have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rosenborg 3-2 and beat Universitatea Cluj 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 14L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BrannAll competitions
02 Aug
Brann
3-2
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
30 Jul
Brann
3-1
Universitatea Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
Brann
2-3
Valerenga
Eliteserien
23 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2-2
Brann
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Molde
1-2
Brann
Eliteserien
12 Jul
Brann
2-1
Start
Eliteserien
13
Win
39%
6
Draw
18%
14
Lost
42%
Apollon Limassol
Recent Form

Apollon Limassol have won 3 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Dila 0-4 and beat GO Ahead Eagles 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 2D 3L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Apollon LimassolAll competitions
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Utrecht
0-1
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Apollon Limassol
0-2
Pafos
Cup
7
Win
58%
2
Draw
17%
3
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Brann

No reported absences

Apollon Limassol

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.80 (55.4%)
Value Bets
Brann Win1.64 (52%)
Apollon Limassol Win4.76 (26.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (54.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (45.3%)
BTTS No1.90 (44.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (21.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Brann average 1.9 goals per match at home; Apollon Limassol 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Brann have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.