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Paide vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds

Paide vs Rapid Vienna

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Paide
WDWLW
VS
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Rapid Vienna
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 (implied 61.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 64.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.56). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (64.2% vs 61.7%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rapid Vienna comes into this fixture in excellent form, having won all of their last five matches. This winning streak not only demonstrates their current momentum but also highlights their ability to consistently convert scoring opportunities, which is crucial in a knockout competition like the UEFA Europa Conference League. On the other hand, Paide has shown mixed results in their recent matches, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. While they have managed to secure some points, their inconsistent form could hinder their chances against a side like Rapid Vienna, who are on a roll. Paide will need to step up significantly to match the intensity and effectiveness of their opponents. The model outputs a win probability favouring Rapid Vienna, with a projected score of 2-0. A key market percentage indicates a strong likelihood of a Vienna victory. However, a potential caveat is that if Paide can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Rapid Vienna, they could make the match more competitive than anticipated. For a full breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Paide Win29%5.30
Draw20%4.30
Rapid Vienna Win51%1.55
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7057.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6258.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Paide 0-1 Rapid Vienna
7.9012.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
7.90
12.7%
0-2
8.50
11.8%
1-2
8.75
11.4%
1-1
9.00
11.1%
0-0
9.50
10.5%
1-3
12.00
8.3%

Our model projects a 0-1 Rapid Vienna win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

Best Betting Odds

Paide vs Rapid Vienna
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Betano
5.304.301.551.622.271.702.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XPaide or Draw
49%2.52
12Paide or Rapid Vienna
80%1.21
X2Draw or Rapid Vienna
71%1.17

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
PaideRapid Vienna
1.75Goals p.g.1.71
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.26
28%Clean sheets29%
50%Win rate52%
3.06Avg goals in match2.97
xG per game0.59
xGA per game0.00
Possession %60%
Shots on target / game2.6
Corners per game5.0
Paide
Recent Form

Paide have won 14 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kuressaare 1-0 and beat Zira 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 9D 9L from the last 36 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PaideAll competitions
02 Aug
Paide
1-0
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
30 Jul
Zira
1-1
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Paide
1-0
Zira
UEFA Europa Conference League
19 Jul
Laagri
5-2
Paide
Meistriliiga
16 Jul
Paide
3-0
Hegelmann Litauen
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen
1-1
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
18
Win
50%
9
Draw
25%
9
Lost
25%
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Wienerberg 0-3 and beat FC Santa Coloma 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 9L from the last 31 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
02 Aug
Rapid Vienna
1-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6-2
FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
Wienerberg
0-3
Rapid Vienna
Cup
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1-3
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3-2
Hamburger SV
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4-1
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
16
Win
52%
6
Draw
19%
9
Lost
29%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Paide

No reported absences

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.62 (58.2%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Paide Win5.30 (29.3%)
Rapid Vienna Win1.55 (51%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.27 (41.8%)
BTTS No2.05 (42.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.30 (19.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Paide average 1.8 goals per match at home; Rapid Vienna 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Rapid Vienna have generated 0.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 2.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rapid Vienna player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.