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FC Noah vs FC Sion Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Noah vs FC Sion

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
FC Noah
WDWWD
VS
Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
FC Sion
WLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.60). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.4% vs 59.9%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Noah to win against FC Sion, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Noah has shown strong form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency will be crucial as they aim to capitalize on their home advantage in Abovyan City Stadium. FC Sion, while also performing well with three wins in their last five matches, has experienced some inconsistency with one draw and one loss. This mixed form could be a concern as they face a resilient Noah side. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks will be tested in this crucial qualifier. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for FC Noah, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat for FC Noah is the pressure of playing at home, which can sometimes lead to unexpected performances. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team applies an in-house model to provide these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Noah Win43%2.64
Draw23%3.34
FC Sion Win34%2.65
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6760.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8856.8%

Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Noah 1-1 FC Sion
6.7014.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Noah -0.3
2.2237%

FC Noah have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.70
14.9%
0-0
7.80
12.8%
0-1
8.75
11.4%
1-0
8.75
11.4%
1-2
10.25
9.8%
2-1
10.25
9.8%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Noah
-0.3
2.22
FC Sion
+0.3
2.22

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. FC Noah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Noah vs FC Sion
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
1xBet
2.683.382.68
Betano
2.603.302.621.881.901.672.07

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Noah or Draw
66%1.52
12FC Noah or FC Sion
77%1.31
X2Draw or FC Sion
57%1.52

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC NoahFC Sion
2.57Goals p.g.2.35
0.86Goals conceded p.g.1.08
43%Clean sheets42%
64%Win rate50%
3.43Avg goals in match3.42
xG per game1.04
xGA per game-0.16
Possession %51%
Shots on target / game4.0
Corners per game5.6
FC Noah
Recent Form

FC Noah have won 4 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Zimbru 2-1 and beat Syunik 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 1L from the last 14 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC NoahAll competitions
30 Jul
FC Noah
2-1
Zimbru
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Zimbru
1-1
FC Noah
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
FC Noah
2-0
Syunik
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
FC Noah
2-0
Van
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Mura
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
64%
4
Draw
29%
1
Lost
7%
FC Sion
Recent Form

FC Sion have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to BSC Young Boys 4-2 and drew with Bate Borisov 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 4L from the last 26 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC SionAll competitions
30 Jul
FC Sion
4-0
Bate Borisov
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
BSC Young Boys
4-2
FC Sion
Super League
23 Jul
Bate Borisov
1-1
FC Sion
UEFA Europa Conference League
17 Jul
FC Sion
4-0
Annecy
Friendlies Clubs
12 Jul
Yverdon Sport
1-3
FC Sion
Friendlies Clubs
01 Jul
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2-4
FC Sion
Friendlies Clubs
13
Win
50%
9
Draw
35%
4
Lost
15%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Noah

No reported absences

FC Sion

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.88 (56.8%)
Both Teams Score1.67 (60.1%)
Value Bets
FC Noah Win2.64 (42.8%)
FC Sion Win2.65 (33.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.90 (43.2%)
BTTS No2.07 (39.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (23.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

FC Noah average 2.6 goals per match at home; FC Sion 2.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FC Noah have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 64% of their matches and averaging 2.6 goals per game. FC Noah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.