Auxerre vs Angers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Auxerre vs Angers
Match Preview
The model favours Auxerre to win against Angers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Auxerre starts the season in a strong position, having finished last season with two wins in their final three matches. Their recent form has shown resilience, with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five games, indicating they can compete effectively. On the other hand, Angers has enjoyed a promising end to their previous season, winning four of their last five matches. This strong finish suggests they have momentum heading into the new campaign. However, they will need to translate that form into results as they begin their season against a tough opponent. The model gives Auxerre a win probability of 55%, while Angers sits at 25%, with a 20% chance of a draw. One potential caveat for Auxerre is the pressure of expectations as the season kicks off, which could impact their performance. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Auxerre have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Auxerre are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Auxerre vs Angers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | |
| 2.09 | 3.62 | 3.83 | |
Double Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Auxerre and Angers stands at 3 wins for Auxerre, 4 draws, and 3 wins for Angers over the last 10 matches. This record indicates a closely contested rivalry, with neither team having a clear upper hand. The scorelines reflect a mix of narrow victories and draws, suggesting that matches are often tightly fought; for instance, five of the encounters ended in draws or were decided by a single goal. The last win for either side was in 2026 for Auxerre, highlighting that recent matchups have been competitive and evenly matched.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAuxerre have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Auxerre 1-1 and lost to Auxerre 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 9D 8L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Angers have won 1 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Stade Brestois 29 1-1 and lost to Auxerre 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 12L from the last 25 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAuxerre
No reported absences
Angers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Auxerre have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Angers 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Auxerre have generated 0.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Auxerre player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
