Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction, Tips & Odds
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse
Match Preview
The model favours Stade Brestois 29 to win against Toulouse, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Stade Brestois 29 starts the season in a strong position, currently placed fourth. While they have yet to play a match this season, their recent form indicates a competitive edge, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This suggests they have been able to secure points consistently, indicating a solid foundation as they enter the new campaign. On the other hand, Toulouse finds themselves in a challenging position, sitting at 17th place. Although they also have not played this season, their recent form shows a mix of results, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This indicates some potential, but they will need to translate that past performance into the current season to improve their standing. The model output gives Stade Brestois 29 a win probability of approximately 60%, highlighting their advantage in this matchup. However, a caveat to consider is that both teams are starting their seasons, which can lead to unpredictable outcomes as they find their rhythm. For full details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Stade Brestois 29 have been the stronger side, winning 23% of their matches.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Stade Brestois 29 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse| Bookmaker | 1X2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | |
| 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.68 | |
Double Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Stade Brestois 29 leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse, Stade Brestois 29 has won 5 times, Toulouse has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches featuring tight contests; five of the encounters ended with a score difference of just one goal. However, Stade Brestois 29 has had a notable advantage in recent years, winning four of the last five fixtures. The last victory for Toulouse dates back to August 2025, highlighting a potential shift in dominance in this matchup.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 16 |  Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStade Brestois 29 have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Stade Brestois 29 2-2 and drew with Stade Brestois 29 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 10D 10L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Toulouse have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Strasbourg 1-2 and lost to Lens 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 9L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStade Brestois 29
No reported absences
Toulouse
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 average 1.3 goals per match at home; Toulouse 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Stade Brestois 29 have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 23% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Stade Brestois 29 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
