Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Prediction, Tips & Odds
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa
Match Preview
The model favours Avispa Fukuoka to secure a victory against Urawa, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Avispa Fukuoka is currently positioned 7th in the J1 League standings, having earned 3 points from their first two matches. Their positive goal difference of +2, with 3 goals scored and only 1 conceded, indicates a solid start to the season. The team's recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches, further supports their status as the favourites in this matchup. In contrast, Urawa sits at the bottom of the table in 19th place, with no points from their first two games. They have struggled defensively, conceding 8 goals while only managing to score 4, resulting in a goal difference of -4. Their form has also been concerning, with just one win in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in finding consistency early in the season. Overall, the model projects a win probability of 65% for Avispa Fukuoka, suggesting they are likely to come out on top. However, Urawa could pose a challenge if they manage to improve their defensive performance and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Avispa. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Avispa Fukuoka manage games at home, conceding just 1.61 goals per match. Urawa score 1.64 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.
Avispa Fukuoka have been the stronger side, winning 26% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Avispa Fukuoka clean sheets, in line with their 13% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Avispa Fukuoka are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.90 | 1.77 | |
| 2.43 | 3.12 | 2.94 | 2.29 | 1.60 | 1.92 | 1.77 | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 3.02 | 2.37 | 1.64 | — | — | |
| 2.31 | 2.95 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 1.58 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.49 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.32 | 1.62 | 1.92 | 1.79 | |
| 2.43 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.32 | 1.52 | 1.96 | 1.73 | |
Betano | 2.47 | 3.05 | 2.95 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Superbet | 2.42 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.77 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.90 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Avispa Fukuoka leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa, Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 times, Urawa has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight encounters; notably, five matches ended in draws or by a single goal margin. The presence of low-scoring games, including four 0-0 draws, suggests defensive strength from both sides. Urawa's last victory in this fixture was in June 2021, indicating a trend of Avispa Fukuoka being more successful recently.
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Kashima | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | DDWW |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 6 |  Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | WLDW |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 | Urawa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 | WLLL |
| 18 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 | LDLD |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2027 SeasonAvispa Fukuoka have won 4 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 9 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 and beat Avispa Fukuoka 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 12D 11L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Urawa have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Machida Zelvia 3-1 and lost to Gamba Osaka 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 13L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAvispa Fukuoka
No reported absences
Urawa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Urawa 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Avispa Fukuoka have generated 0.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 26% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Avispa Fukuoka player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
