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Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds

Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 4
Banfield
#12 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLDWL
0 - 2
Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee: S. Martinez
Belgrano Cordoba
#5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWDLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.45
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.43 (implied 70.2%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.38). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.7% vs 70.2%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Belgrano Cordoba to win against Banfield, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Belgrano currently sits in 5th place in the Liga Profesional, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, while scoring the same number as Banfield. With three wins and two draws in their last five matches, Belgrano's form has been consistent, showcasing their ability to secure results. On the other hand, Banfield occupies 12th place with 18 points from their 16 matches, reflecting a challenging season. Their goal difference stands at -2, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded. Banfield's recent form includes just one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to compete effectively against a team like Belgrano, who are in better form and position. The model indicates that Belgrano has a strong win probability, reflecting their current standing and form. However, one caveat is that if Banfield can find a way to convert their home advantage into more decisive performances, they could pose a challenge. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Banfield Win34%3.07
Draw27%2.86
Belgrano Cordoba Win39%2.55
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6357.9%

Banfield have kept a clean sheet in 29% of matches. Belgrano Cordoba average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4365.8%

Banfield manage games at home, conceding just 1.08 goals per match. Belgrano Cordoba score 1.25 on the road.

Correct Score
Banfield 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba
5.4818.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Belgrano Cordoba -0.0
1.7333%

Belgrano Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.48
18.3%
0-1
5.77
17.4%
0-0
5.92
17.0%
1-0
6.48
15.5%
1-2
9.88
10.2%
0-2
10.46
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Banfield
-0.0
2.07
Belgrano Cordoba
+0.0
1.73
Banfield
-0.3
2.60
Belgrano Cordoba
+0.3
2.18
Banfield
-0.5
2.89
Belgrano Cordoba
+0.5
2.42
Banfield
-1.5
7.50
Belgrano Cordoba
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Belgrano Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.052.862.542.701.452.101.65
Marathonbet
3.052.842.552.611.392.151.61
Betfair
3.102.802.552.601.442.101.65
Pinnacle
3.212.912.652.901.45
SBO
2.882.812.45
William Hill
2.902.702.602.151.65
Bet365
3.202.882.602.701.442.201.62
1xBet
3.102.892.602.611.392.151.63
Unibet
3.102.902.502.851.402.231.58
888Sport
3.102.802.452.701.402.151.65
Betano
3.053.002.572.821.452.151.65
Superbet
3.102.902.602.821.442.221.62
BetVictor
3.102.902.552.561.432.151.60

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
60.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
34.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
16.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBanfield or Draw
62%1.49
12Banfield or Belgrano Cordoba
73%1.38
X2Draw or Belgrano Cordoba
66%1.35

Head to Head

Last 9 Meetings (Belgrano Cordoba leads 4-2)
2 Banfield3 Draw4 Belgrano Cordoba
08 Feb
Belgrano Cordoba
1-0
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 25
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 25
Banfield
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 24
Banfield
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jun 23
Belgrano Cordoba
3-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 18
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 17
Banfield
2-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 17
Banfield
2-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 15
Banfield
1-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina

In the last nine matches between Banfield and Belgrano Cordoba, the record shows Banfield winning 2 times, drawing 3, and Belgrano Cordoba winning 4 times. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters; notably, four matches ended in draws and four were decided by a single goal. Belgrano Cordoba has had the upper hand recently, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 3-1 victory. Banfield's most recent win against Belgrano Cordoba was in 2017, making it a while since they last triumphed in this matchup.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
WLLWL
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
LWLWD
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
DDWDL
2
River Plate
1692522121029
WLLLL
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
LWWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DDWWW
5
Belgrano Cordoba
167541713426
WWDLW
12
Banfield
165381719-218
WLDWL
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
DLLLD
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLDLW
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LWLLW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BanfieldHome
4W2D2L
8 playedGF 10 · GA 61.75 pts/game
Belgrano CordobaAway
3W3D2L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 81.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BanfieldBelgrano Cordoba
1.08Goals p.g.1.25
1.08Goals conceded p.g.0.71
29%Clean sheets54%
33%Win rate50%
2.17Avg goals in match1.96
1.13xG per game1.03
0.26xGA per game0.40
40%Possession %42%
3.8Shots on target / game4.4
3.2Corners per game3.3
Banfield
Recent Form

Banfield have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Banfield 0-2 and beat Banfield 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 10L from the last 24 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BanfieldAll competitions
14 Aug
Racing Club
0-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
10 Aug
Banfield
0-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Aug
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0-0
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Jul
Banfield
3-2
Sarmiento Junin
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Huracan
1-0
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
09 May
Banfield
1-1
San Martin Tucuman
Copa Argentina
8
Win
33%
6
Draw
25%
10
Lost
42%
Belgrano Cordoba
Recent Form

Belgrano Cordoba have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Banfield 0-2 and drew with Tigre 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 5L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Belgrano CordobaAll competitions
15 Aug
Belgrano Cordoba
2-0
Independ. Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
10 Aug
Banfield
0-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
06 Aug
Tigre
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Aug
Belgrano Cordoba
0-1
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jul
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Rosario Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 May
Gimnasia Jujuy
2-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Copa Argentina
14
Win
50%
9
Draw
32%
5
Lost
18%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Banfield

No reported absences

Belgrano Cordoba

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.43 (65.8%)
BTTS No1.63 (57.9%)
Value Bets
Banfield Win3.07 (34.4%)
Draw2.86 (27.2%)
Belgrano Cordoba Win2.55 (38.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.72 (34.2%)
Both Teams Score2.16 (42.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. Martinez has averaged 4.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Banfield have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Belgrano Cordoba 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Belgrano Cordoba have generated 1.03 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Belgrano Cordoba player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.