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Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Tips & Odds

Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor

Süper LigRegular Season - 1
Beşiktaş
#4 · Süper Lig
WWWWW
1 - 0
Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Referee: O. Cakir
Eyüpspor
#15 · Süper Lig
LWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Beşiktaş to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Eyüpspor make Beşiktaş the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.42
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.37 (implied 72.9%) for Beşiktaş to Win. Our experts calculate a 75.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.33). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (75.4% vs 72.9%), driven by Beşiktaş's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Beşiktaş to win this match against Eyüpspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Beşiktaş enters this season positioned fifth in the standings, though they have yet to play a match. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, suggesting they have the potential to build on past performances. The team's attacking capabilities will be crucial as they look to secure their first points of the season. Eyüpspor, currently in sixth place, also has not played any matches this season. However, they have shown strong form leading into this campaign, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. This resilience could pose a challenge for Beşiktaş, especially if Eyüpspor can carry over their momentum from previous seasons. The model output indicates a win probability of 60% for Beşiktaş and a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the home advantage, which typically favours Beşiktaş in their performances at Beşiktaş Park. However, the uncertainty lies in the teams’ readiness and adaptability in the new season, which could impact the outcome. For a complete understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Beşiktaş Win65%1.37
Draw19%4.90
Eyüpspor Win16%7.45
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7452.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5255.0%

Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Beşiktaş 2-0 Eyüpspor
7.0914.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Beşiktaş -1.5
2.1045%

Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
7.09
14.2%
2-1
7.48
13.5%
1-0
7.90
12.7%
1-1
8.84
11.4%
3-0
9.19
11.0%
3-1
9.81
10.3%

Our model projects a 2-0 Beşiktaş win as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Beşiktaş clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Beşiktaş
-0.0
1.10
Eyüpspor
+0.0
5.77
Beşiktaş
-0.5
1.30
Eyüpspor
+0.5
6.75
Beşiktaş
-1.5
2.10
Eyüpspor
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.354.858.201.552.401.771.95
Marathonbet
1.364.957.401.482.341.731.97
Betfair
1.364.607.501.502.551.672.15
Pinnacle
1.414.997.281.562.49
SBO
1.364.586.66
William Hill
1.364.757.001.801.95
Bet365
1.384.757.501.572.351.732.00
1xBet
1.405.307.901.482.341.732.00
Unibet
1.335.407.501.432.551.701.98
888Sport
1.364.757.001.532.401.801.95
Betano
1.425.108.001.572.471.781.98
BetVictor
1.364.807.501.532.291.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
40.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBeşiktaş or Draw
84%1.09
12Beşiktaş or Eyüpspor
82%1.15
X2Draw or Eyüpspor
35%2.95

Head to Head

Last 6 Meetings (Beşiktaş leads 5-0)
5 Beşiktaş1 Draw0 Eyüpspor
26 Jan
Eyüpspor
2-2
Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
Aug 25
Beşiktaş
2-1
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
Feb 25
Eyüpspor
1-3
Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
Sept 24
Beşiktaş
2-1
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
Jan 24
Beşiktaş
4-0
Eyüpspor
Türkiye Kupası
Feb 23
Beşiktaş
3-2
Eyüpspor
Friendlies Clubs

In the last six matches between Beşiktaş and Eyüpspor, Beşiktaş has won five times, with one draw and Eyüpspor yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, though Beşiktaş has often come out on top, including a notable 4-0 win in the Türkiye Kupası. The matches have featured a mix of narrow victories, such as the 2-1 results, and a couple of more decisive outcomes. Eyüpspor's last draw against Beşiktaş was in January 2026, suggesting they have struggled to gain the upper hand in recent encounters.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Amed
11003033
W
2
Başakşehir
11002023
W
3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
11002113
W
4
Beşiktaş
11001013
W
5
Rizespor
11001013
W
6
Göztepe
10103301
D
15
Eyüpspor
100101-10
L
16
Konyaspor
100101-10
L
17
Kocaelispor
100102-20
L
18
Erzurumspor FK
100103-30
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BeşiktaşHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game
EyüpsporAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 · GA 10.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BeşiktaşEyüpspor
1.55Goals p.g.1.27
0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.27
42%Clean sheets27%
55%Win rate32%
2.45Avg goals in match2.55
1.21xG per game1.05
0.69xGA per game-0.22
53%Possession %38%
4.0Shots on target / game4.0
4.0Corners per game3.2
Beşiktaş
Recent Form

Beşiktaş have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Eyüpspor 1-0 and beat Hradec Králové 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 7L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BeşiktaşAll competitions
16 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
13 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-1
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
30 Jul
FC Midtjylland
0-2
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Beşiktaş
1-0
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3-2
Beşiktaş
Friendlies Clubs
17
Win
55%
7
Draw
23%
7
Lost
23%
Eyüpspor
Recent Form

Eyüpspor have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Eyüpspor 1-0 and drew with Fenerbahçe 3-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 9L from the last 22 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: EyüpsporAll competitions
16 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
24 Jul
Eyüpspor
2-0
İstanbulspor
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jul
Eyüpspor
1-0
Mardin 1969
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
Fenerbahçe
3-3
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
09 May
Eyüpspor
4-0
Rizespor
Süper Lig
03 May
Kayserispor
1-1
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
7
Win
32%
6
Draw
27%
9
Lost
41%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

4 players

Beşiktaş2

E. Ricardo
Missing FixtureOff the roster
T. Djalo
QuestionableInjury

Eyüpspor2

J. El Yamiq
Missing FixtureInjury
Massanga Matondo
Missing FixtureInactive

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Beşiktaş Win1.37 (65.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (55%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (45%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (52.1%)
BTTS No1.99 (47.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.90 (18.5%)
Eyüpspor Win7.45 (16.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

O. Cakir has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Cakir to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Beşiktaş have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Eyüpspor 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Beşiktaş have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Beşiktaş to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.