Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd Prediction, Tips & Odds
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd
Match Preview
The model favours Blackburn to win against Sheffield United, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Blackburn currently sits in 6th place in the Championship, having secured 4 points from their opening two matches with a record of 1 win and 1 draw. The team has demonstrated a promising attack, scoring 4 goals so far, while their defence has allowed 3 goals, resulting in a positive goal difference of 1. Sheffield United, on the other hand, is positioned 15th with 2 points from their two games, failing to register a win yet. They have drawn both matches and have not found the back of the net, resulting in a goal difference of 0. While their defence has held firm, the lack of goals could be a significant concern as they seek to climb the standings. According to the model, Blackburn has a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is that if Sheffield United can improve their attacking efficiency and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Blackburn, they could potentially upset the prediction. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Blackburn manage games at home, conceding just 1.07 goals per match. Sheffield Utd score 1.63 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Sheffield Utd have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sheffield Utd are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.94 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 2.91 | 3.48 | 2.27 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 3.06 | 3.49 | 2.38 | 1.88 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 2.84 | 3.13 | 2.28 | 1.89 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.92 | 3.48 | 2.29 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
| 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.32 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sheffield Utd leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Blackburn and Sheffield United, Sheffield United has the upper hand with 6 wins, compared to Blackburn's 3 victories and 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Sheffield United achieving three wins by a margin of two goals or more, showcasing a degree of dominance. Blackburn's victories have been narrower, with one match ending in a single-goal win. The presence of a draw adds to the competitiveness, but Sheffield United's recent success, including a 3-0 win in 2022, suggests they have generally fared better in this rivalry.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | WLWDD |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBlackburn have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Blackburn 1-2 and lost to Blackburn 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sheffield Utd have won 9 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Cardiff 2-2 and beat Blackburn 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 8L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
14 playersBlackburn9
Sheffield Utd5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Blackburn have averaged 6.3 corners per match at home; Sheffield Utd 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sheffield Utd have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sheffield Utd player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
