Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against Ferencvarosi TC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite both teams starting the UEFA Europa League with no points, Celtic's recent form gives them an edge. They have won four of their last five matches, indicating strong momentum as they enter this competition. Their ability to score frequently will be crucial, as they look to capitalize on home advantage at Celtic Park. On the other hand, Ferencvarosi TC comes into this match with an impressive five-match winning streak. This run suggests they are in good form and could pose a threat to Celtic. However, their success has been in domestic competitions, and stepping onto the European stage can present a different challenge altogether. Their lack of experience in this tournament may impact their performance. The model outputs a win probability in favour of Celtic, reflecting their stronger recent form and home advantage. However, it is essential to note that early-season matches can bring unpredictability, and Ferencvarosi's winning streak cannot be overlooked. Details on how we reached this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses fixture data through expected goals and actual results to provide insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.68 | 4.15 | 4.80 | 1.49 | 2.39 | 1.53 | 2.33 | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.87 | 1.56 | 2.53 | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.60 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.86 | 1.49 | 2.39 | 1.53 | 2.36 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 4.15 | 4.55 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Celtic leads 2-1)In the last three matches between Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC, the record shows Celtic winning 2 times and Ferencvarosi TC winning once. The scorelines indicate a mix of close contests and clear victories, with two matches ending with a one-goal margin and one match featuring a two-goal win for Celtic. Notably, Ferencvarosi TC's last victory was in 2020, suggesting that Celtic has had the upper hand in more recent encounters. Overall, while the matches have been competitive, Celtic's recent form against Ferencvarosi TC appears stronger.
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWDWD |
| 34 |  Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCeltic have won 13 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Celtic 3-0 and beat Celtic 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 5L from the last 31 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ferencvarosi TC have won 10 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ferencvarosi TC 0-3 and beat Puskas Academy 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 4D 5L from the last 30 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCeltic
No reported absences
Ferencvarosi TC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
P. Kolaric has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by P. Kolaric to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Celtic have averaged 7.4 corners per match at home; Ferencvarosi TC 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 2.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.