Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United Prediction, Tips & Odds
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
Match Preview
The model favours Cercle Brugge to win this match against Lommel United, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Cercle Brugge currently sits in 9th place in the Jupiler Pro League standings, having played two matches so far this season. They have yet to secure a win, with two draws to their name. Despite this, they have managed to score five goals while conceding five, indicating a balanced offensive and defensive performance. On the other side, Lommel United is positioned 12th, having played just one match, which resulted in a draw as well. Their scoring and conceding statistics are identical to those of Cercle Brugge, with one goal scored and one conceded. However, Lommel's form shows some inconsistency, with only one win in their last five matches, which may impact their confidence going into this fixture. The model's output suggests a win probability of around 60% for Cercle Brugge, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of a high-scoring match. A caveat for this prediction is that if Lommel United can tighten their defence and find their rhythm early in the match, they could pose a significant challenge. The full method for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Cercle Brugge leads 4-1)Cercle Brugge has won 4 of the last 7 matches against Lommel United, with 2 draws and 1 victory for Lommel United. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Cercle Brugge, with a mix of narrow and more decisive wins, including a 5-0 victory. The draws suggest competitive encounters, but Lommel United's only win came in 2017, highlighting a significant gap in recent success. Overall, Cercle Brugge has maintained a strong advantage in this rivalry, particularly in the more recent fixtures.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | LDD |
| 16 |  OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCercle Brugge have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Cercle Brugge 3-3 and drew with Cercle Brugge 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 9L from the last 25 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lommel United have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with St. Truiden 1-1 and lost to OH Leuven 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 7L from the last 23 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCercle Brugge
No reported absences
Lommel United
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
