Kortrijk vs Charleroi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kortrijk vs Charleroi
Match Preview
The model favours Charleroi to win against Kortrijk, projecting a scoreline of 3-0. Charleroi currently sits in fifth place in the Jupiler Pro League, having played just one match this season, which they won convincingly with a score of 3-1. Their strong start, including a positive goal difference of +2, indicates a solid attacking capability that Kortrijk will need to contend with. In contrast, Kortrijk is struggling at the bottom of the table in eighteenth place after two matches, with no wins and a concerning goal difference of -6. They have yet to score this season, which reveals significant issues in their attacking play. With only one win in their last five matches, their form does not inspire confidence going into this fixture. The model suggests a high probability of a Charleroi victory, with a projected score of 3-0. However, a potential caveat is that if Kortrijk manages to improve their defensive organization and find a way to score, they could disrupt Charleroi's plans. The full method, which incorporates expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Charleroi leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Kortrijk and Charleroi, Charleroi has won 6 times, Kortrijk has won 1 time, and there have been 3 draws. This record indicates a significant advantage for Charleroi, who has consistently outperformed Kortrijk in recent encounters. The scorelines also reflect a tendency for tight contests, with several matches ending in narrow margins, such as Charleroi's 1-0 victories. The most recent win for Kortrijk dates back to 2024, highlighting a challenging period for them against Charleroi. Overall, Charleroi's dominance is evident in both the win count and the competitiveness of the matches.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 16 |  OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKortrijk have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Antwerp 0-3 and drew with Club Brugge II 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 7L from the last 17 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Charleroi have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lommel United 0-1 and drew with Lens 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 12L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKortrijk
No reported absences
Charleroi
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
