Charlton vs Preston Prediction, Tips & Odds
Charlton vs Preston
Match Preview
The model favours Charlton to win against Preston, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Charlton currently sits in 5th place in the Championship after their opening match, where they secured a victory with a 2-1 scoreline. Their form indicates a solid start to the season, having won three of their last five matches, which reflects their competitive edge early on. The team's ability to score two goals in their first outing is a positive sign for their attacking capabilities. On the other hand, Preston finds themselves in 19th place after a disappointing start to the season, losing their first match 2-1. Their recent form shows no wins in their last five matches, compounded by four consecutive losses. This trend indicates struggles both defensively and offensively, as they have conceded more goals than they have scored in their last match, leaving them with a negative goal difference. According to the model output, Charlton has a strong win probability, while Preston's chances seem limited given their current form. However, one caveat is that if Preston can improve their defensive organization, they may pose a challenge. For more details on the methodology behind this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this data-driven approach to provide insights into match outcomes.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Charlton manage games at home, conceding just 1.15 goals per match. Preston score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
Charlton have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Charlton clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Charlton are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Charlton vs Preston| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.16 | 3.15 | 2.14 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.34 | 3.20 | 3.23 | 2.20 | 1.68 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.30 | 3.16 | 3.16 | 2.14 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.22 | 1.70 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Preston leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Charlton and Preston, Preston has won 8 times, Charlton has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a significant dominance by Preston, with the majority of their victories coming by narrow margins, such as 1-0 and 2-1 scorelines. However, Charlton's sole win was a notable 5-2 victory, suggesting they can compete at a high level. The frequency of tight matches is evident, but the overall trend shows that Preston has been the stronger side historically, with Charlton last winning in November 2011.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | WD |
| 5 |  QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | DW |
| 6 |  Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 20 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 22 |  Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 23 |  Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 24 |  Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -1 | WL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCharlton have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Charlton 2-1 and beat Charlton 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 9L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Preston have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Bolton 2-1 and lost to Stockport County 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 6D 16L from the last 26 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCharlton
No reported absences
Preston
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Charlton average 1.0 goals per match at home; Preston 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Charlton have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 41% of their matches and averaging 1.0 goals per game. Charlton player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
