Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Prediction, Tips & Odds
Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
Match Preview
The model favours Columbus Crew to win against CF Montreal, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Columbus Crew currently sits in 11th place with a record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Over the course of the season, they have scored 26 goals while conceding 28, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows improvement with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a potential upward trend. On the other hand, CF Montreal finds themselves in 14th place, having secured only 4 wins alongside 4 draws and 10 losses. They have scored 24 goals but have conceded 35, leading to a goal difference of -11. Their recent form, which includes just one win in their last five matches (DLLDW), suggests that they are struggling to find consistency and may face challenges against a more competitive opponent. According to the model, Columbus Crew has a win probability of 59.8%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market statistic shows a 62.4% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. However, the caveat is that if CF Montreal can tighten their defense, they could disrupt Columbus Crew's scoring opportunities. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Columbus Crew have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Columbus Crew are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.45 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.70 | 4.05 | 4.25 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.57 | 2.45 | |
| 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.48 | 1.58 | 2.48 | — | — | |
| 1.74 | 3.78 | 4.05 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Superbet | 1.74 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 2.42 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Columbus Crew leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, Columbus Crew has won 5 times, drawn 4, and CF Montreal has won just once. This record indicates a strong performance by Columbus Crew, particularly in recent meetings, where they have secured several narrow victories, including a 2-1 win in October 2023. The matches have often been competitive, with 4 draws showcasing a degree of parity. However, CF Montreal's sole victory came back in August 2022, highlighting their struggle to find consistent success against Columbus Crew. Overall, the head-to-head results suggest a favorable trend for Columbus Crew.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 46 | WWDLW |
| 1 |  Houston Dynamo | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 39 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 37 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 35 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 34 | LLDWW |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 20 | LLDWL |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 20 | WDDLL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 18 | WWLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 15 | DLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonColumbus Crew have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to CF Montreal 1-2 and drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CF Montreal have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Montreal 1-2 and lost to Nashville SC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 14L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedColumbus Crew4-4-2Confirmed
CF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersColumbus Crew3
CF Montreal5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Badawi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Badawi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Columbus Crew have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; CF Montreal 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Columbus Crew have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Columbus Crew player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
