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Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Prediction, Tips & Odds

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 20
Columbus Crew
#12 · Major League Soccer
LLDWW
1 - 2
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Referee: M. Badawi
CF Montreal
#14 · Major League Soccer
WDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 (implied 64.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.50). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.6% vs 64.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Columbus Crew to win against CF Montreal, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Columbus Crew currently sits in 11th place with a record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Over the course of the season, they have scored 26 goals while conceding 28, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows improvement with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a potential upward trend. On the other hand, CF Montreal finds themselves in 14th place, having secured only 4 wins alongside 4 draws and 10 losses. They have scored 24 goals but have conceded 35, leading to a goal difference of -11. Their recent form, which includes just one win in their last five matches (DLLDW), suggests that they are struggling to find consistency and may face challenges against a more competitive opponent. According to the model, Columbus Crew has a win probability of 59.8%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market statistic shows a 62.4% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. However, the caveat is that if CF Montreal can tighten their defense, they could disrupt Columbus Crew's scoring opportunities. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Columbus Crew Win52%1.72
Draw21%4.01
CF Montreal Win27%4.32
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5760.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5660.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Columbus Crew 1-1 CF Montreal
7.4113.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Columbus Crew -0.5
1.6446%

Columbus Crew have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.41
13.6%
2-1
7.55
13.3%
1-0
8.56
11.8%
2-0
9.04
11.2%
3-1
11.30
9.0%
2-2
11.80
8.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Columbus Crew
-0.0
1.30
CF Montreal
+0.0
3.29
Columbus Crew
-0.5
1.64
CF Montreal
+0.5
4.05
Columbus Crew
-1.5
2.88
CF Montreal
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Columbus Crew are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.674.104.451.572.351.572.25
Marathonbet
1.704.054.251.502.291.532.30
Betfair
1.734.004.331.532.451.572.45
Pinnacle
1.754.154.481.582.48
SBO
1.743.784.05
William Hill
1.704.004.001.602.25
Bet365
1.734.004.501.572.351.572.25
Unibet
1.664.004.601.602.301.602.20
888Sport
1.704.004.001.532.381.602.25
Betano
1.784.104.501.602.421.552.35
Superbet
1.744.004.401.572.421.572.32
BetVictor
1.704.004.331.542.271.532.30

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XColumbus Crew or Draw
73%1.20
12Columbus Crew or CF Montreal
80%1.21
X2Draw or CF Montreal
48%2.09

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Columbus Crew leads 5-1)
5 Columbus Crew4 Draw1 CF Montreal
May 25
CF Montreal
1-1
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Apr 25
Columbus Crew
2-1
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
May 24
CF Montreal
1-3
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Apr 24
Columbus Crew
0-0
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
Oct 23
Columbus Crew
2-1
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
Sept 23
CF Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Sept 22
CF Montreal
2-2
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Aug 22
Columbus Crew
1-2
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
Sept 21
Columbus Crew
2-1
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
May 21
CF Montreal
0-0
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer

In the last 10 matches between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, Columbus Crew has won 5 times, drawn 4, and CF Montreal has won just once. This record indicates a strong performance by Columbus Crew, particularly in recent meetings, where they have secured several narrow victories, including a 2-1 win in October 2023. The matches have often been competitive, with 4 draws showcasing a degree of parity. However, CF Montreal's sole victory came back in August 2022, highlighting their struggle to find consistent success against Columbus Crew. Overall, the head-to-head results suggest a favorable trend for Columbus Crew.

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Nashville SC
20144240152546
WWDLW
1
Houston Dynamo
2012262924538
WWWWW
2
Inter Miami
20116348381039
DLDWW
2
Vancouver Whitecaps
19114440182237
LWDDL
3
Chicago Fire
19112636251135
WWWLL
3
Los Angeles FC
21104735211434
LLDWW
12
Columbus Crew
2055102833-520
LLDWL
14
CF Montreal
2055102737-1020
WDDLL
15
Atlanta United FC
2053122335-1218
WWLLD
15
Sporting Kansas City
2043131949-3015
DLLLW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Columbus CrewHome
4W2D4L
10 playedGF 13 · GA 111.40 pts/game
CF MontrealAway
2W1D7L
10 playedGF 14 · GA 260.70 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
1.65Goals p.g.1.57
1.32Goals conceded p.g.1.8
18%Clean sheets17%
38%Win rate33%
2.97Avg goals in match3.37
1.45xG per game1.67
0.12xGA per game0.04
58%Possession %46%
3.8Shots on target / game4.8
5.3Corners per game6.0
Columbus Crew
Recent Form

Columbus Crew have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to CF Montreal 1-2 and drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Columbus CrewAll competitions
19 Aug
Columbus Crew
1-2
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
15 Aug
Charlotte
3-1
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
11 Aug
Columbus Crew
1-1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Leagues Cup
07 Aug
Columbus Crew
2-1
CF Pachuca
Leagues Cup
04 Aug
Columbus Crew
3-1
Atlas
Leagues Cup
01 Aug
Inter Miami
2-2
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
13
Win
38%
8
Draw
24%
13
Lost
38%
CF Montreal
Recent Form

CF Montreal have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Montreal 1-2 and lost to Nashville SC 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 14L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: CF MontrealAll competitions
19 Aug
Columbus Crew
1-2
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
15 Aug
CF Montreal
1-1
DC United
Major League Soccer
01 Aug
CF Montreal
2-2
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
25 Jul
CF Montreal
0-1
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1-0
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0-0
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
10
Win
33%
6
Draw
20%
14
Lost
47%

Lineups

Confirmed

Columbus Crew4-4-2Confirmed

31Steven MoreiraDEF
18Malte AmundsenDEF
25Sean ZawadzkiDEF
4Rudy CamachoDEF
46Chase AdamsFWD
10Brais MéndezFWD
28Patrick SchulteGK
16Taha HabrouneMID
20André GomesMID
7Dylan ChambostMID
23Mohamed FarsiMID
11Brooks LennonDEF
12Cesar RuvalcabaDEF
2Andres HerreraDEF
77Josef MartínezFWD
1Nicholas HagenGK
26Lautaro GiacconeMID
14Amar SejdicMID
8Dániel GazdagMID
50Tarun KarumanchiMID

CF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed

2Jalen NealDEF
13Luca PetrassoDEF
4Brayan VeraDEF
27Dawid BugajDEF
18Hennadii SynchukFWD
23Noah StreitFWD
9Prince OwusuFWD
31Thomas GillierGK
7Daniel PereiraMID
21Fabian HerbersMID
8Matthew LongstaffMID
3Brayan CeballosDEF
5Brandan CraigDEF
14Daniel RiosFWD
10Alexis SánchezFWD
35Owen Graham-RoacheFWD
29Olger EscobarFWD
1Sebastian BrezaGK
6Samuel PietteMID
22Victor LoturiMID

Unavailable Players

8 players

Columbus Crew3

J. Thiare
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
S. Bangoura
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
W. Abou Ali
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

CF Montreal5

A. Sanchez
Missing FixtureInactive
B. Hidalgo
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
E. Morales
Missing FixtureToe Injury
F. Amaya
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
W. Carmona
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (60.7%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (60.8%)
Value Bets
Columbus Crew Win1.72 (52.3%)
CF Montreal Win4.32 (27.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.37 (39.3%)
BTTS No2.29 (39.2%)
Speculative
Draw4.01 (20.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Badawi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Badawi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Columbus Crew have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; CF Montreal 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Columbus Crew have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Columbus Crew player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.