CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction, Tips & Odds
CSKA Sofia vs OFI
Match Preview
The model favours CSKA Sofia to win against OFI, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. CSKA Sofia has shown a solid performance recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This form indicates a team that is finding its rhythm, particularly as they enter a crucial stage in the Europa League playoffs. In contrast, OFI has struggled in their recent outings, managing only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. This lack of form could impact their confidence as they face a team like CSKA Sofia, who are more accustomed to performing well in high-stakes situations. The disparity in recent performances suggests that CSKA Sofia will likely capitalize on any defensive lapses from OFI. According to the model, CSKA Sofia has a strong win probability, aligning with the projected scoreline of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if OFI can tighten their defense and exploit any overconfidence from CSKA Sofia, they could turn the tide. The full methodology behind this prediction, which includes an analysis of expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
CSKA Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 CSKA Sofia win as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature CSKA Sofia clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. CSKA Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CSKA Sofia vs OFI| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.56 | 4.10 | 5.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.48 | 4.30 | 6.10 | 1.73 | 2.07 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.50 | 4.46 | 6.12 | 1.74 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 1.38 | 4.07 | 6.38 | 1.79 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.59 | 4.31 | 5.87 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
| 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.74 | 1.96 | 1.81 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 1.62 | 4.35 | 5.70 | 1.82 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
Superbet | 1.58 | 4.25 | 5.35 | 1.80 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.75 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (OFI leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, OFI defeated CSKA Sofia with a score of 3-0. This match indicates a significant advantage for OFI, as they secured a comfortable win without conceding any goals. The one-sided nature of this fixture suggests a challenge for CSKA Sofia, who have not managed to score in this head-to-head history. Given the lopsided result, CSKA Sofia will need to improve significantly to compete effectively if they meet OFI again in the future.
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 | OFI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WW |
| 34 |  Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCSKA Sofia have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 and beat CSKA Sofia 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 3L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
OFI have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with OFI 0-0 and lost to Aris Thessalonikis 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 10L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCSKA Sofia5-3-2Confirmed
OFI3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersCSKA Sofia
No reported absences
OFI
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
CSKA Sofia average 1.6 goals per match at home; OFI 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
CSKA Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. CSKA Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.