Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Prediction, Tips & Odds

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast

World CupGroup Stage - 3
Curaçao
#4 · World Cup
WLLLD
VS
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Ivory Coast
#2 · World Cup
WWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
2.75
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.50 (implied 40.0%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 46.1% probability (an expert ratio of 2.17). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (46.1% vs 40.0%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. The price even sits above our fair value, so you are paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Curaçao and Ivory Coast is set to be a significant encounter as both teams look to kickstart their campaigns in Group E of the World Cup. With the group stage yet to begin, both sides have everything to play for. Curaçao enters this tournament after a strong qualifying campaign, finishing first in their group with an unbeaten record of three wins and three draws. This foundation could provide them with the confidence needed to face a historically stronger opponent. Ivory Coast, on the other hand, has a more extensive tournament history, albeit with recent performances that suggest they have struggled to progress past the group stage in the last three editions. Their recent competitive form shows a mixture of results, but they have had some notable victories against teams like South Korea and Burkina Faso. Both teams have new managers, which may influence their tactical approaches; Curaçao is led by D. Advocaat, while Ivory Coast is managed by E. Faé, both since early 2024. One caveat to consider is the limited competitive form data available for both teams, as recent matches include friendlies, which may not reflect true competitive dynamics. Bookmakers have not yet priced this fixture, leaving us without specific probabilities for the outcome. The SureTipsPro Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates the fixture through aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the context of the tournament. This match promises to be closely contested, with both teams eager to make their mark.

About the Teams

Curaçao

ManagerD. Advocaat · since 2024-01-01
Qualifying1st in Group B, 3W-3D-0L, 12 pts
Tournament historyNo appearances in the last 3 editions on record
Recent matches
Wvs Aruba 4-0Friendly
Lat Scotland 1-4Friendly
Lat Australia 1-5FIFA Series
Lat China 0-2FIFA Series
Dat Jamaica 0-0World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Wat Bermuda 7-0World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF

Ivory Coast

ManagerD. Belmadi · since 2020-10-01
Tournament historyLast 3 editions — 2014: Group stage. Best: Group stage.
Recent matches
Wat France 2-1Friendly
Wat Scotland 1-0Friendly
Wat South Korea 4-0Friendly
Lat Egypt 2-3Africa Cup of Nations
Wvs Burkina Faso 3-0Africa Cup of Nations
Wat Gabon 3-2Africa Cup of Nations

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Curaçao Win19%21.05
Draw13%8.42
Ivory Coast Win68%1.12
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.4853.9%

Curaçao have kept a clean sheet in 45% of matches. Ivory Coast average 1.9 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4661.4%

Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast
5.5818.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Ivory Coast -0.0
1.0462%

Ivory Coast have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
5.58
18.0%
0-3
5.87
17.1%
0-1
7.65
13.1%
0-4
7.95
12.6%
1-2
10.77
9.4%
1-3
11.30
8.9%

Our model projects a 0-2 Ivory Coast win as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Curaçao
-0.0
11.67
Ivory Coast
+0.0
1.04

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Ivory Coast are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
16.007.901.131.452.702.401.50
Marathonbet
26.008.401.131.432.592.521.46
Betfair
18.008.501.131.442.602.451.50
Pinnacle
17.558.441.121.432.69
SBO
16.007.901.12
William Hill
23.008.001.122.451.50
Bet365
17.008.501.121.572.382.751.40
1xBet
29.009.351.141.432.592.521.47
Unibet
21.009.501.131.462.702.451.48
888Sport
23.008.001.111.442.502.451.50
Betano
24.007.501.141.502.702.401.53
BetVictor
22.009.001.101.472.702.601.45

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
61.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
43.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCuraçao or Draw
32%5.51
12Curaçao or Ivory Coast
87%1.08
X2Draw or Ivory Coast
82%1.01

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Group E Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Germany
11007163
W
2
Ivory Coast
11001013
W
3
Ecuador
100101-10
L
4
Curaçao
100117-60
L

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CuraçaoIvory Coast
1.82Goals p.g.1.9
1.45Goals conceded p.g.0.8
45%Clean sheets50%
36%Win rate70%
3.27Avg goals in match2.7
50%Possession %57%
5.6Shots on target / game5.0
4.1Corners per game5.7
Curaçao
Recent Form

Curaçao have won 3 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Aruba 4-0 and drew with Trinidad and Tobago 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 4L from the last 11 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CuraçaoAll competitions
07 Jun
Curaçao
4-0
Aruba
Friendlies
30 May
Scotland
4-1
Curaçao
Friendlies
31 Mar
Australia
5-1
Curaçao
FIFA Series
27 Mar
China
2-0
Curaçao
FIFA Series
Nov 25
Jamaica
0-0
Curaçao
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Nov 25
Bermuda
0-7
Curaçao
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
4
Win
36%
3
Draw
27%
4
Lost
36%
Ivory Coast
Recent Form

Ivory Coast have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ivory Coast 1-2 and beat Ivory Coast 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 1D 2L from the last 10 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Ivory CoastAll competitions
04 Jun
France
1-2
Ivory Coast
Friendlies
31 Mar
Scotland
0-1
Ivory Coast
Friendlies
28 Mar
South Korea
0-4
Ivory Coast
Friendlies
10 Jan
Egypt
3-2
Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
06 Jan
Ivory Coast
3-0
Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 25
Gabon
2-3
Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
7
Win
70%
1
Draw
10%
2
Lost
20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Curaçao

No reported absences

Ivory Coast

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Ivory Coast Win1.12 (68.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.46 (61.4%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.61 (38.6%)
Both Teams Score2.50 (46.1%)
BTTS No1.48 (53.9%)
Speculative
Curaçao Win21.05 (18.6%)
Draw8.42 (13.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Curaçao have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Ivory Coast 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Ivory Coast have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 70% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ivory Coast player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt