Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction, Tips & Odds
Portugal vs Uzbekistan


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About the Teams
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Portugal leads 1-0)

Portugal has won 1 match against Uzbekistan with no draws or wins for Uzbekistan. The only encounter occurred in 2026 during the World Cup, where Portugal secured a decisive 5-0 victory. Given that this is the sole competitive meeting between the two nations, it is difficult to draw any significant conclusions about a trend or pattern.
Group K Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | LWDWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | LWDWD | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LWLD | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Key Statistics
2026 Season
Portugal have won 5 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Croatia 2-1 and beat Nigeria 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 1L from the last 14 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Uzbekistan have won 1 of their last 3 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Uzbekistan 2-1 and lost to Canada 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 3L from the last 11 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Portugal
No reported absences
Uzbekistan
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.



