Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction, Tips & Odds
Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole
Match Preview
The model favours Džiugas Telšiai to win this match against Suduva Marijampole, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Džiugas currently sits in third place in the A Lyga standings with 17 points from 10 matches, showcasing a solid season so far. Their goal difference of +1 indicates a generally balanced performance, while their recent form, including three wins in their last five matches, emphasizes their ability to secure crucial points. On the other hand, Suduva Marijampole is just one point behind in fourth place with 16 points, having also played 10 matches. Their record of four wins, four draws, and two losses reflects a competitive edge, particularly with a strong defensive record of just six goals conceded. The team’s recent form shows they are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws, indicating their resilience and ability to grind out results. According to the model output, Džiugas Telšiai has a higher probability of winning this fixture. However, one caveat is that Suduva's strong defensive performance could lead to a tighter match than expected. The complete methodology used in this prediction is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Džiugas Telšiai manage games at home, conceding just 1.14 goals per match. Suduva Marijampole score 1.50 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Suduva Marijampole have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Suduva Marijampole are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.55 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.83 | |
| 3.45 | 3.34 | 1.91 | 2.04 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.80 | |
| 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 3.55 | 3.48 | 1.96 | 2.10 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 3.52 | 3.34 | 1.93 | 2.04 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.83 | |
Betano | 3.50 | 3.35 | 1.91 | 1.98 | 1.65 | — | — |
Superbet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.68 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 3.20 | 2.88 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.53 | 1.70 | 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  TransINVEST Vilnius | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 3 | Džiugas Telšiai | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 4 | Suduva Marijampole | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 |  Banga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Šiauliai | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDžiugas Telšiai have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 and drew with Banga 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 6L from the last 21 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Suduva Marijampole have won 0 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Suduva Marijampole 2-2 and drew with Suduva Marijampole 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 9D 5L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDžiugas Telšiai
No reported absences
Suduva Marijampole
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Džiugas Telšiai average 1.3 goals per match at home; Suduva Marijampole 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Suduva Marijampole have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 36% of their matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. Suduva Marijampole player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.