Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
Match Preview
The model favours CSKA Moscow to win this match against Dinamo Makhachkala, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, CSKA has had a solid start to the season, remaining unbeaten with three wins and three draws across their first six matches. They have scored nine goals while conceding only six, indicating a strong defensive record. The team's goal difference of three suggests they have managed to maintain competitive performances, especially in tight games. On the other hand, Dinamo Makhachkala finds itself in seventh place with a mixed bag of results so far, having won three, lost three, and with a neutral goal difference. Their recent form shows just one victory in the last five matches, which includes three losses. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to challenge a strong opponent like CSKA. According to the model, CSKA Moscow has a win probability of approximately 55%, with the projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Dinamo's home advantage, which could potentially tilt the match in their favour if they can leverage the support of their fans. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.
CSKA Moscow have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. CSKA Moscow are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.18 | 3.42 | 2.30 | 1.95 | 1.86 | 1.72 | 2.00 | |
| 3.21 | 3.43 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 2.82 | 3.09 | 2.31 | 1.99 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 3.26 | 3.50 | 2.36 | 2.02 | 1.92 | 1.72 | 2.02 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (CSKA Moscow leads 5-1)In the last six encounters between Dinamo Makhachkala and CSKA Moscow, CSKA Moscow leads with five wins to Dinamo's one, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a generally tight competition, with four matches ending with a one-goal margin. However, CSKA has secured two victories by two goals, suggesting they can dominate when needed. Dinamo's solitary win came in the Cup, while their last league victory over CSKA was not recent, highlighting a challenge for them in this matchup. Overall, CSKA Moscow has a clear upper hand in this head-to-head record.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Zenit | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 5 |  Baltika | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Dynamo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Akron | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 | LDLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDinamo Makhachkala have won 10 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 and lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 12L from the last 35 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CSKA Moscow have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to CSKA Moscow 2-0 and drew with Akron 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 11D 13L from the last 35 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDinamo Makhachkala4-2-3-1Confirmed
CSKA Moscow5-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersDinamo Makhachkala
No reported absences
CSKA Moscow
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dinamo Makhachkala have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; CSKA Moscow 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CSKA Moscow have generated 3.12 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CSKA Moscow player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.