Espanyol vs Levante Prediction, Tips & Odds
Espanyol vs Levante
Match Preview
The model favours Espanyol to win against Levante, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite both teams starting the season with no matches played, Espanyol's recent form suggests a positive trajectory. They have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws. Their ability to maintain a solid defensive record, combined with a slight edge in attacking output, makes them a strong contender in this matchup. On the other hand, Levante's recent form shows a mix of results, with three wins but also two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a concern as they head into the new season. While they have shown the capability to win, the lack of a stable performance could hinder their chances against a resilient Espanyol side. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Espanyol, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to note is that the odds for Espanyol to win are at 1.80. However, a potential caveat for Espanyol lies in their transition to the new season; if they fail to carry their form into the opening match, they could struggle against a determined Levante side. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Espanyol manage games at home, conceding just 1.69 goals per match. Levante score 1.29 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Espanyol have been the stronger side, winning 17% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Espanyol clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Espanyol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Espanyol vs Levante| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.90 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.82 | 2.20 | 1.69 | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
| 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 2.15 | 3.28 | 3.87 | 2.25 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 2.98 | 3.18 | 2.20 | 1.69 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 2.13 | 3.46 | 3.88 | 2.27 | 1.74 | 1.90 | 1.82 | |
| 2.04 | 3.30 | 3.85 | 2.28 | 1.63 | 1.95 | 1.77 | |
| 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Espanyol leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Espanyol and Levante, Espanyol has won 5 times, there have been 4 draws, and Levante has won once. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive series, with several close matches, including four draws and multiple fixtures decided by a single goal. However, Espanyol has shown a stronger performance recently, including a notable 4-1 victory in their last encounter. Levante's solitary win came in 2020, suggesting a trend of Espanyol's dominance in recent years, while Levante has struggled to secure victories against them.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | LW |
| 6 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18 |  Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 19 |  Malaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEspanyol have won 3 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Real Madrid 1-2 and beat Levante 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 10D 14L from the last 29 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Levante have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Levante 3-0 and beat Castellón 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 11L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
4 playersEspanyol2
Levante2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Espanyol average 1.3 goals per match at home; Levante 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Espanyol have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 17% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Espanyol player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
