FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC
Match Preview
The model favours FC Midtjylland to win against Randers FC, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. FC Midtjylland has started the season strongly, currently sitting in third place with two wins from their opening two matches. They have scored five goals while conceding three, demonstrating a solid attacking capability alongside a competent defense. Their positive goal difference of two indicates their ability to outscore opponents, making them a formidable force early in the campaign. On the other hand, Randers FC is positioned fourth in the standings with four points from three matches, having managed one win, one draw, and one loss. They have scored three goals and conceded two, reflecting a more cautious approach. While their form shows some promise with two draws in their last three matches, they will need to find a way to convert those draws into victories to climb higher in the table. According to the model output, FC Midtjylland has a higher win probability, with the potential for a close match given Randers FC's ability to defend effectively. However, a key concern for Midtjylland could be their inconsistency, as indicated by their mixed form in recent matches. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to provide insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
FC Midtjylland have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 FC Midtjylland win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Midtjylland clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Midtjylland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 1.42 | 4.65 | 6.55 | 1.49 | 2.32 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.45 | 4.90 | 6.83 | 1.56 | 2.52 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.44 | 5.99 | 1.59 | 2.33 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.43 | 4.65 | 6.54 | 1.49 | 2.32 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
| 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.40 | 1.53 | 2.43 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 1.45 | 4.65 | 6.80 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 1.45 | 4.85 | 6.30 | 1.55 | 2.47 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between FC Midtjylland and Randers FC, FC Midtjylland has won 5 times, with 3 matches ending in a draw and Randers FC winning 2. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters, including four matches finishing with a one-goal margin. Notably, there have been three draws, highlighting the potential for tightly contested games. Randers FC's last win against FC Midtjylland was in July 2025, suggesting that FC Midtjylland has had the upper hand more recently in this matchup.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brondby | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Viborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WDWW |
| 5 |  FC Copenhagen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | LWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Randers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Midtjylland have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Randers FC 1-0 and beat HNK Rijeka 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 6L from the last 36 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Randers FC have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Randers FC 1-0 and beat ASA Aarhus 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 13L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Midtjylland3-5-2Confirmed
Randers FC5-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersFC Midtjylland4
Randers FC6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Maae has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
FC Midtjylland have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Randers FC 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Midtjylland have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Midtjylland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
