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FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2
FC Nordsjaelland
#19 · UEFA Europa Conference League
DLLWD
VS
Right to Dream Park, Farum
CSKA Sofia
#13 · UEFA Europa Conference League
DWWWD

Match Preview

The model favours FC Nordsjaelland to win against CSKA Sofia, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nordsjaelland enters this match with a mixed form summary, having recorded two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. While they are currently positioned at 19th in the league, their recent performance indicates potential for improvement as they look to kick off their campaign positively. On the other hand, CSKA Sofia comes into this fixture with a stronger recent form, boasting three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Positioned at 13th in the league, they have shown resilience, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their previous outings. This could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge Nordsjaelland on their home ground. According to our model, FC Nordsjaelland has a win probability of 55%, while CSKA Sofia's chances stand at 25%. Despite the model's favouritism towards Nordsjaelland, one caveat is their need to convert home advantage into tangible results, especially given the pressure of starting the season on a positive note. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Mjallby AIF
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2
Brighton
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3
Monaco
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4
FK Jablonec
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5
Gent
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6
St. Truiden
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13
CSKA Sofia
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19
FC Nordsjaelland
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34
FC Iberia 1999
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35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
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36
Riga
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Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
FC NordsjaellandHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
CSKA SofiaAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia
1.6Goals p.g.1.79
1.23Goals conceded p.g.1.29
30%Clean sheets25%
47%Win rate54%
2.84Avg goals in match3.08
2.19xG per game—
0.18xGA per game—
57%Possession %—
5.8Shots on target / game—
5.1Corners per game—
FC Nordsjaelland
Recent Form

FC Nordsjaelland have won 11 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Odense 0-0 and beat Brondby 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 12D 11L from the last 43 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC NordsjaellandAll competitions
09 Oct
FC Nordsjaelland
0-0
Odense
Superliga
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
Viborg
4-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
16 Sept
Vatanspor
0-3
FC Nordsjaelland
DBU Pokalen
07 Sept
FC Midtjylland
2-2
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
20
Win
47%
12
Draw
28%
11
Lost
26%
CSKA Sofia
Recent Form

CSKA Sofia have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with CSKA Sofia 1-1 and beat Lokomotiv Sofia 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 6L from the last 24 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CSKA SofiaAll competitions
20 Sept
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1
CSKA Sofia
First League
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Sofia
0-2
CSKA Sofia
First League
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4-1
Arda Kardzhali
First League
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2-4
CSKA Sofia
Super Cup
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1-1
CSKA Sofia
First League
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3-1
Cherno More Varna
First League
13
Win
54%
5
Draw
21%
6
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Nordsjaelland

No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.