FK Jablonec vs Brighton Prediction, Tips & Odds
FK Jablonec vs Brighton


Match Preview
The model favours Brighton to win this match against FK Jablonec, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Brighton enters the UEFA Europa Conference League with a strong position in their domestic league, currently sitting in second place. They have shown good form recently, winning three of their last five matches. Key to their success has been their offensive capability, which they will look to carry over into European competition. On the other hand, FK Jablonec finds themselves in fourth place in their league. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may pose a challenge as they face a formidable opponent in Brighton, who are likely to be more cohesive in their play given their recent results. The model gives Brighton a strong win probability in this matchup, projecting a score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Jablonec can leverage home advantage effectively, they might disrupt Brighton's rhythm. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
FK Jablonec have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FK Jablonec 1-1 and beat FK Jablonec 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 9L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Brighton have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brighton 0-2 and beat Manchester United 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 9L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FK Jablonec
No reported absences
Brighton
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.









