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FK Jablonec vs Brighton Prediction, Tips & Odds

FK Jablonec vs Brighton

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2
FK Jablonec
#4 · UEFA Europa Conference League
WDLWL
VS
Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Brighton
#2 · UEFA Europa Conference League
WWWWD

Match Preview

The model favours Brighton to win this match against FK Jablonec, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Brighton enters the UEFA Europa Conference League with a strong position in their domestic league, currently sitting in second place. They have shown good form recently, winning three of their last five matches. Key to their success has been their offensive capability, which they will look to carry over into European competition. On the other hand, FK Jablonec finds themselves in fourth place in their league. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may pose a challenge as they face a formidable opponent in Brighton, who are likely to be more cohesive in their play given their recent results. The model gives Brighton a strong win probability in this matchup, projecting a score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Jablonec can leverage home advantage effectively, they might disrupt Brighton's rhythm. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Mjallby AIF
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2
Brighton
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3
Monaco
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4
FK Jablonec
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5
Gent
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6
St. Truiden
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34
FC Iberia 1999
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35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
00000000
36
Riga
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Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
FK JablonecHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
BrightonAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FK JablonecBrighton
1.19Goals p.g.1.81
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.03
35%Clean sheets42%
46%Win rate55%
2.46Avg goals in match2.84
0.71xG per game2.92
-0.43xGA per game0.40
47%Possession %70%
3.2Shots on target / game6.0
4.6Corners per game5.0
FK Jablonec
Recent Form

FK Jablonec have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FK Jablonec 1-1 and beat FK Jablonec 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 9L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FK JablonecAll competitions
02 Oct
Dukla Praha
0-1
FK Jablonec
Cup
20 Sept
FK Jablonec
1-1
Zlin
Czech Liga
12 Sept
Sparta Praha
2-0
FK Jablonec
Czech Liga
09 Sept
FK Jablonec
3-0
BanĂ­k Ostrava
Czech Liga
06 Sept
FK Jablonec
1-2
Slovan Liberec
Czech Liga
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1-1
FK Jablonec
Czech Liga
12
Win
46%
5
Draw
19%
9
Lost
35%
Brighton
Recent Form

Brighton have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brighton 0-2 and beat Manchester United 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 9L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BrightonAll competitions
10 Oct
Sunderland
0-2
Brighton
Premier League
19 Sept
Brighton
3-0
Arsenal
Premier League
16 Sept
Manchester United
2-3
Brighton
League Cup
13 Sept
Coventry
0-5
Brighton
Premier League
05 Sept
Brighton
1-1
Leeds
Premier League
30 Aug
Chelsea
4-3
Brighton
Premier League
17
Win
55%
5
Draw
16%
9
Lost
29%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FK Jablonec

No reported absences

Brighton

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.