Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Gaziantep FK to win against Alanyaspor with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Gaziantep FK enters this match positioned 9th in the standings, having not yet played this season. However, their recent form shows a mixed bag with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. What stands out is their ability to score, even in challenging times, which could play a crucial role as they aim to kick off the season positively. On the other hand, Alanyaspor sits just below them in 10th place, with an identical record of no matches played this season. Their recent form is slightly better than Gaziantep’s, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. Alanyaspor has struggled defensively, which could be a concern as they face a Gaziantep side looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Gaziantep FK, suggesting they are favoured to secure the three points. However, a potential caveat is the unpredictability of opening matches in a new season, where teams might take time to find their rhythm. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Gaziantep FK have been the stronger side, winning 26% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Gaziantep FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.66 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.46 | 3.14 | 2.88 | 2.01 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 2.55 | 3.22 | 2.98 | 2.08 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 2.36 | 3.11 | 2.74 | 2.08 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.56 | 3.26 | 2.99 | 2.07 | 1.82 | 1.75 | 1.97 | |
| 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.80 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.07 | |
| 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.82 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Alanyaspor leads 7-1)In the last ten matches between Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor, Alanyaspor has won seven times, while Gaziantep FK has secured just one victory, with two matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a strong tendency towards Alanyaspor, with several decisive victories, including three matches won by a margin of three goals. Gaziantep FK's sole win came in a recent match, but overall, they have struggled against Alanyaspor, who have not lost to them in the last eight encounters. The historical results highlight a significant advantage for Alanyaspor in this rivalry.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGaziantep FK have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Alanyaspor 1-1 and lost to Başakşehir 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 10L from the last 23 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Alanyaspor have won 1 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Alanyaspor 1-1 and lost to Fatih Karagümrük 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 9D 9L from the last 22 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
1 playerGaziantep FK1
Alanyaspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Y. Kol has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Y. Kol to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Gaziantep FK have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Alanyaspor 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Gaziantep FK have generated 1.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 26% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gaziantep FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
