Getafe vs Racing Santander Prediction, Tips & Odds
Getafe vs Racing Santander
Match Preview
The model favours Getafe to win against Racing Santander, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Getafe enters the season with a solid position, having finished seventh in the previous campaign. While they have yet to play this season, their form in the last five matches shows a mix of results, with one win, two draws, and two losses. This suggests they have potential to build on their previous season's success. On the other hand, Racing Santander is starting the season in tenth place and also has not yet played. Their recent form is less encouraging, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to start the season strong, especially against a side like Getafe that has shown resilience. The model output indicates a win probability of 60% for Getafe, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to watch is the odds on Getafe winning, which reflect their stronger historical performance. However, there is a caveat: both teams are beginning their seasons, and early matches can often yield unexpected results due to factors like squad adjustments and player fitness. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Getafe have kept a clean sheet in 36% of matches. Racing Santander average 1.8 goals per game.
Getafe manage games at home, conceding just 0.93 goals per match. Racing Santander score 1.77 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.
Getafe have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Getafe clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Getafe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Getafe vs Racing Santander| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.16 | 2.88 | 3.85 | 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 2.25 | 3.12 | 3.74 | 2.34 | 1.62 | 1.94 | 1.77 | |
| 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 2.27 | 3.11 | 3.77 | 2.35 | 1.65 | — | — | |
| 2.24 | 3.01 | 3.32 | 2.40 | 1.61 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 2.29 | 3.18 | 3.80 | 2.41 | 1.66 | 1.94 | 1.79 | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.32 | 1.60 | 1.94 | 1.79 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Superbet | 2.27 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.35 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.21 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Getafe leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Getafe and Racing Santander shows Getafe winning 2 matches, Racing Santander winning 1, and 1 match ending in a draw across their last 4 encounters. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive rivalry, with three of the four matches being decided by a single goal, suggesting tight contests. The lone draw ended in a 1-1 stalemate, while Racing Santander's last victory occurred over a decade ago in February 2011. Overall, while Getafe has the edge, the matches have generally been closely contested.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DW |
| 3 |  Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | LW |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Racing Santander | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Malaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 19 |  Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGetafe have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Getafe 1-0 and beat Getafe 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 11L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Racing Santander have won 1 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wolves 3-0 and lost to Osasuna 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 5D 3L from the last 13 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersGetafe4
Racing Santander2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Getafe have averaged 1.8 corners per match at home; Racing Santander 7.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Getafe have generated 0.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 2.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Getafe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
