Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns
Match Preview
The model favours Hangzhou Greentown to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 8th place in the league, Hangzhou has had a mixed season with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference of -5 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but their ability to score 27 goals shows they can be competitive in matches. Recent form has seen them struggle, with only one win in their last five matches, but they remain the stronger side overall. Wuhan Three Towns, in contrast, is positioned 15th and has accrued just 14 points from 19 matches, with a record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -7 highlights their defensive issues, having conceded 34 goals while scoring the same number as Hangzhou. Although they have managed to secure 2 wins in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not been consistent enough to inspire confidence against a mid-table opponent. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Hangzhou Greentown. While they are favoured to win, one caveat is their recent struggles, which could allow Wuhan to capitalize if they can maintain their recent form. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.0% probability.
Hangzhou Greentown have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown win as the most likely scoreline at 12.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Hangzhou Greentown are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.75 | |
| 1.82 | 4.10 | 3.42 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.31 | 3.08 | |
| 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 1.86 | 4.53 | 3.53 | 1.31 | 3.49 | — | — | |
| 1.76 | 3.71 | 3.21 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.33 | 3.10 | |
| 1.80 | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 1.86 | 4.30 | 3.62 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.31 | 3.14 | |
| 1.63 | 4.20 | 4.35 | 1.38 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
Betano | 1.80 | 4.25 | 3.45 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Superbet | 1.72 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.29 | 3.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns, Hangzhou Greentown has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 2 victories for Wuhan Three Towns. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Hangzhou Greentown, with several convincing wins, including a 4-0 and a 3-1. Wuhan Three Towns has managed to secure two wins, both of which came in 2022, suggesting a more challenging time for them in recent encounters. The draw frequency is low, and overall, the results indicate a strong advantage for Hangzhou Greentown in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 52 | DWLWL |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 38 | DDDWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHangzhou Greentown have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 and beat Yunnan Yukun 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 13D 11L from the last 35 games (31% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wuhan Three Towns have won 1 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 and beat Qingdao Jonoon 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 13D 16L from the last 35 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHangzhou Greentown4-2-3-1Confirmed
Wuhan Three Towns4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Wuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Li Haixin has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Wuhan Three Towns 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Hangzhou Greentown have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hangzhou Greentown player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
