Hibernian vs Shkendija Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hibernian vs Shkendija
Match Preview
The model favours Hibernian to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Hibernian has shown resilience this season, bouncing back from a recent loss to secure three wins in their last five matches. Their ability to score goals, combined with a solid home advantage, positions them well for this encounter. On the other hand, Shkendija comes into this match with a strong form, having won four of their last five games. Their recent performances highlight a potent attacking threat, but they also suffered one defeat, which raises questions about their consistency when facing tougher opposition away from home. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Hibernian, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if Shkendija manages to maintain their attacking momentum, they could pose significant problems for Hibernian's defence. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
Hibernian have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Hibernian win as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Hibernian clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Hibernian are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hibernian vs Shkendija| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.25 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.70 | |
| 1.45 | 4.15 | 6.70 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 1.36 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.43 | 4.15 | 6.57 | 1.85 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 1.41 | 3.76 | 5.80 | 1.88 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.48 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.50 | 4.30 | 6.94 | 1.86 | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 1.45 | 4.25 | 6.75 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.96 | 1.73 | |
| 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.20 | 1.85 | 1.91 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
Superbet | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.97 | 1.74 |
BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.20 | 7.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Hibernian and Shkendija shows one draw, with no wins for either side. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match without any goals. This lack of scoring suggests that both teams may struggle to find the back of the net against each other, leading to a balanced but uneventful matchup. Since they have not faced defeat against one another, it highlights the competitive nature of their past meeting.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHibernian have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hibernian 2-1 and lost to Hibernian 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 10L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Shkendija have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Shkendija 0-2 and lost to Hibernian 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 6L from the last 16 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHibernian4-3-3Confirmed
Shkendija4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHibernian
No reported absences
Shkendija
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Menelaos has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Menelaos to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Hibernian average 1.5 goals per match at home; Shkendija 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Hibernian have generated 1.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 2.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hibernian player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
