Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Prediction, Tips & Odds
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
Match Preview
The model favours Inter Miami to win against CF Montreal, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Inter Miami is currently in strong form, sitting in 2nd place in the league standings with 38 points from 18 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses highlights their attacking prowess, having scored 45 goals while conceding 32. Although their recent form shows some inconsistency with only two wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance suggests they are capable of dominating this fixture. On the other hand, CF Montreal struggles in 14th place with just 16 points from 18 games. Their season has been marked by difficulty, with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses. They have scored only 24 goals and conceded 35, resulting in a negative goal difference of -11. Their recent form shows only one win in the last five matches, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence going into this matchup. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for Inter Miami, suggesting a strong likelihood of victory. However, if CF Montreal manages to find their scoring touch or if Inter Miami's defence falters, the outcome could be different. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.5% probability.
Inter Miami have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Inter Miami win as the most likely scoreline at 12.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Inter Miami are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.46 | 5.10 | 5.30 | 1.28 | 3.65 | 1.38 | 2.80 | |
| 1.44 | 5.10 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 3.30 | 1.39 | 2.72 | |
| 1.40 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 3.80 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 1.47 | 5.30 | 5.40 | 1.30 | 3.50 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.80 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.40 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 1.24 | 3.90 | 1.37 | 2.85 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 5.10 | 5.40 | 1.33 | 3.35 | 1.44 | 2.65 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.25 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Inter Miami leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Inter Miami and CF Montreal, Inter Miami has won 5 times, CF Montreal has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches featuring narrow victories, such as a 3-2 and a 2-1 result. There have also been some higher-scoring games, including a 4-2 win for Inter Miami. The most recent match saw Inter Miami win 4-1, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Overall, the contests have been closely fought, with neither side dominating the other historically.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 40 | WLWDD |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 49 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 39 | LDLDW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 38 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 36 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 35 | DLLDW |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 14 |  Austin | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 21 | DWLLL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 18 | WWLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 15 | DLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonInter Miami have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Inter Miami 2-3 and lost to Inter Miami 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 9D 6L from the last 31 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CF Montreal have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Montreal 1-2 and lost to Nashville SC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 14L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersInter Miami
No reported absences
CF Montreal
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Inter Miami have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; CF Montreal 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Inter Miami have generated 2.54 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Inter Miami player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
