Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ipswich vs Fulham
Match Preview
The model favours Fulham to win this match against Ipswich, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fulham, currently sitting in 19th place in the Premier League, has struggled this season with no wins from their five matches, recording two draws and three losses. However, their goal difference of -3 indicates they have been competitive in most games, scoring five goals while conceding eight. Ipswich, positioned 11th, has had a mixed start to the season with two wins and three losses. Their goal difference of -4 suggests they have faced challenges defensively, allowing 11 goals while netting seven. Recent form shows only one win in their last five matches, which could impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The model gives Fulham a 37.8% win probability, compared to 35.0% for Ipswich, with a 27.2% chance of a draw. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 53.6%, and both teams to score stands at 57.7%. One caveat for Fulham is their lack of wins this season, which could lead to pressure impacting their performance. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Ipswich have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ipswich are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ipswich vs Fulham| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.82 | 3.54 | 2.46 | 1.76 | 2.09 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.85 | 3.63 | 2.46 | 1.78 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.58 | 3.18 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.90 | 3.64 | 2.53 | 1.81 | 2.15 | 1.58 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.80 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Fulham leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Ipswich and Fulham, Fulham has won 6 times, Ipswich has won once, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency towards Fulham's dominance, with several matches ending in their favor by a margin of more than one goal, such as the 4-1 victory in January 2018. Ipswich's only win in this stretch came back in December 2015, while the recent matches have shown a mix of draws and narrow victories for Fulham, suggesting a competitive but ultimately favorable record for Fulham.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonIpswich have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ipswich 2-4 and beat Ipswich 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 9L from the last 32 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Fulham have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat West Ham 2-3 and drew with Liverpool 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 13L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersIpswich
No reported absences
Fulham
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Ipswich average 1.8 goals per match at home; Fulham 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Ipswich have generated 2.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ipswich player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
