Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win this match against Kristiansund BK, with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in 2nd place in the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of 16 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses from 21 matches. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 53 goals while conceding only 19, resulting in a goal difference of +34. This strong offensive and defensive performance has propelled them to 50 points, making them one of the top contenders this season. In contrast, Kristiansund BK finds themselves struggling at 15th place, with a disappointing record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses. They have scored just 21 goals while conceding 40, leading to a negative goal difference of -19. With only 19 points from 21 matches, the team is in a precarious position and will be looking to improve their form to avoid relegation. The model indicates a high probability of victory for Bodo/Glimt, reflecting their dominant position in the league. However, a potential caveat is that if Kristiansund can find a way to disrupt Bodo/Glimt's rhythm or exploit any defensive lapses, they could pose a threat. The full methodology used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.2% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.04 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 1.09 | 5.25 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 1.06 | 13.00 | 23.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.06 | 16.24 | 21.59 | 1.12 | 6.05 | — | — | |
| 1.06 | 8.68 | 13.48 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.06 | 13.00 | 26.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.07 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 1.17 | 5.00 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 1.04 | 17.50 | 30.00 | 1.09 | 5.25 | 1.79 | 1.92 | |
Betano | 1.09 | 9.75 | 19.00 | 1.17 | 4.65 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.06 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 1.11 | 5.40 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-0)In the last ten matches between Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times, with 1 draw and Kristiansund BK yet to secure a victory. The scorelines illustrate a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by several heavy defeats for Kristiansund BK, including a 7-1 loss and multiple matches with margins of four goals or more. The lone draw occurred in July 2025, suggesting that while Kristiansund has managed to hold Bodo/Glimt to a stalemate once, they have struggled significantly otherwise, failing to win any of the past ten encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 50 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | LWWLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | WLWLD |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 19 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 3-2 and beat Bodo/Glimt 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 33W 5D 6L from the last 44 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kristiansund BK have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brattvåg 1-2 and lost to Viking 8-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 17L from the last 35 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Kristiansund BK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Kristiansund BK 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
