Rosenborg vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win this match against Sandefjord, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rosenborg currently sits in 5th place in the Eliteserien, showcasing a solid season with 10 wins from their 21 matches. Their offensive capabilities are reflected in their 39 goals scored, while they have maintained a positive goal difference of 9. Recent form indicates they are in good shape, having won four of their last five matches. On the other hand, Sandefjord is positioned 11th in the league and has struggled throughout the season with only 6 wins in 21 matches. They have scored just 21 goals, indicating difficulties in their attacking play, and their goal difference of -6 highlights defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches, suggests some inconsistency. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Rosenborg, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a key caveat is that if Sandefjord manages to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Rosenborg, they could create opportunities to upset the predicted outcome. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Rosenborg win as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rosenborg clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.36 | 5.20 | 6.70 | 1.36 | 2.69 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 5.49 | 7.00 | 1.40 | 2.95 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 4.57 | 5.99 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.40 | 5.34 | 6.88 | 1.36 | 2.69 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 1.40 | 4.85 | 6.60 | 1.42 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Rosenborg and Sandefjord, Rosenborg has won 5 times, Sandefjord has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters, with several matches ending in low-scoring draws, such as 0-0 and 1-1. However, Rosenborg has also recorded a decisive 5-2 victory in one fixture, showcasing their ability to dominate on occasion. Sandefjord's last win against Rosenborg came in July 2025, suggesting a challenging trend for them in recent matchups. Overall, while the record is relatively balanced, Rosenborg holds a slight edge historically.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 50 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | LWWLD |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | WLDDW |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | WLWLD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRosenborg have won 12 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ostersunds FK 2-0 and beat Tromso 5-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 4D 14L from the last 36 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sandefjord have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Sandefjord 0-1 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 11L from the last 34 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRosenborg
No reported absences
Sandefjord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rosenborg have averaged 6.3 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.63 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
