Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor
Match Preview
The model favours Kasımpaşa to win against Trabzonspor, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Kasımpaşa begins the season in 13th place, having had a strong finish to the previous campaign with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their recent form indicates a team capable of scoring, which could be crucial as they look to build momentum early in the season. On the other hand, Trabzonspor starts in 14th place and has struggled recently, managing only two wins and three losses in their last five matches. This lack of consistency may hinder their ability to perform effectively as they look to kick off the new season on a positive note. Given their recent form, there could be concerns about their defensive stability. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Kasımpaşa, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to watch is the odds for Kasımpaşa to win, which may reflect their stronger recent performance. However, the caveat is that early-season matches can be unpredictable, and both teams are still finding their rhythm. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Trabzonspor have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Trabzonspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.10 | 3.70 | 1.81 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.74 | 3.62 | 1.89 | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 3.93 | 3.69 | 1.94 | 1.85 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 3.42 | 3.28 | 1.96 | 1.84 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.89 | 3.76 | 1.97 | 1.85 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
| 4.10 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 1.64 | 2.07 | |
| 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 3.95 | 3.80 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Trabzonspor leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor, the record stands at 2 wins for Kasımpaşa, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Trabzonspor. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and wider margins. Notably, Kasımpaşa's victories include a tight 3-2 win and a 2-0 win, while Trabzonspor has achieved a significant 5-1 victory. The relatively balanced win count reflects a pattern of closely contested encounters, though Trabzonspor has been more successful overall in recent meetings.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 13 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKasımpaşa have won 10 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Trabzonspor 1-1 and beat Samsunspor 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 7L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Trabzonspor have won 8 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Trabzonspor 1-1 and lost to Göztepe 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 6L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersKasımpaşa1
Trabzonspor5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
G. Hasova has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by G. Hasova to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Kasımpaşa have averaged 1.5 corners per match at home; Trabzonspor 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Trabzonspor have generated 1.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Trabzonspor player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
