Konyaspor vs Rizespor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Konyaspor vs Rizespor
Match Preview
The model favours Konyaspor to win against Rizespor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Konyaspor enters the match positioned 15th in the league standings, having experienced a mixed bag of results in their last five matches with two wins and three losses. Although their recent form may raise concerns, they have shown the ability to secure victories, which could provide them with a psychological advantage heading into this season opener. On the other hand, Rizespor currently sits in 16th place, with a slightly better recent form of two wins, two draws, and one loss over their last five matches. This suggests they might be entering the new season with some momentum, but they still lack the consistency needed to climb higher in the standings. The challenge for Rizespor will be to translate their recent performances into a successful start to the season. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Konyaspor, with the projected score being 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is Konyaspor's home advantage, which often plays a significant role in early-season matchups. However, a potential caveat is that both teams are starting the season without any prior competitive match form, which could lead to unpredictability. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Konyaspor have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Konyaspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Konyaspor vs Rizespor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.30 | 3.05 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.43 | 3.08 | 2.97 | 1.83 | 1.94 | 1.62 | 2.14 | |
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.44 | 3.19 | 3.17 | 1.88 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.41 | 3.13 | 2.66 | 1.92 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.48 | 3.20 | 3.17 | 1.90 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 2.33 | 3.10 | 3.15 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.85 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.81 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)In the last 10 matches between Konyaspor and Rizespor, both teams have won 3 times, with 4 matches ending in a draw. This record indicates a balanced rivalry, with several closely contested games. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight encounters, such as the 1-1 draws and the recent 3-2 win for Rizespor, alongside a notable heavy win for Konyaspor at 3-0. Neither team has been dominant, and the frequency of draws suggests that these matches often end with neither side able to secure a decisive advantage.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKonyaspor have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 0-1 and beat Al-Dhafra 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 10L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rizespor have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rizespor 0-1 and beat NK Osijek 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 8L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
3 playersKonyaspor1
Rizespor2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
C. Aydin has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by C. Aydin to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Konyaspor have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Rizespor 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Konyaspor have generated 0.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 2.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Konyaspor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
