Lanus vs Argentinos JRS Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS
Match Preview
The model favours Argentinos JRS to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in third place, Argentinos JRS has shown strong form this season, with eight wins, five draws, and three losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference of +4, alongside a solid defensive record of just 13 goals conceded, highlights their effectiveness on both ends of the pitch. The recent form of four wins and one draw in their last five matches demonstrates their competitive edge heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Lanus occupies the sixth position with a record of six wins, six draws, and four losses. Their goal-scoring has been less prolific, netting 18 goals, while allowing 15, resulting in a goal difference of +3. Despite a recent uptick in form with two wins in their last five matches, the overall inconsistency could pose challenges against a robust opponent like Argentinos JRS. The model gives Argentinos JRS a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Lanus's home advantage, which could influence the match outcome if they manage to capitalize on their chances effectively. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Lanus have kept a clean sheet in 42% of matches. Argentinos JRS average 1.2 goals per game.
Lanus manage games at home, conceding just 1.15 goals per match. Argentinos JRS score 1.19 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.
Argentinos JRS have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Argentinos JRS are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.76 | 2.88 | 2.76 | 2.80 | 1.42 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.88 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.10 | 1.64 | |
| 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.20 | 1.65 | |
| 2.75 | 2.89 | 2.94 | 2.77 | 1.46 | — | — | |
| 2.54 | 2.81 | 2.62 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.80 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
| 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.93 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.10 | 1.66 | |
| 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 1.38 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.63 | 1.44 | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 2.72 | 2.95 | 2.92 | 2.77 | 1.47 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
Superbet | 2.75 | 2.92 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 1.45 | 2.17 | 1.64 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.88 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Argentinos JRS leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Lanus and Argentinos JRS, Argentinos JRS leads with 5 wins, while Lanus has won 2 times and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Argentinos JRS achieving some notable victories, including a 4-0 win in 2022, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. The matches have also featured low-scoring patterns, with three games ending in 0-0 draws. Lanus last defeated Argentinos JRS in October 2021, highlighting a gap in their ability to secure wins against this opponent.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLanus have won 9 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Independiente 1-3 and lost to Instituto Cordoba 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 13L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Argentinos JRS have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Argentinos JRS 2-0 and beat Belgrano Cordoba 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 5L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLanus
No reported absences
Argentinos JRS
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Zunino has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Lanus have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Argentinos JRS 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Argentinos JRS have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Argentinos JRS player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
