Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central Prediction, Tips & Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central
Match Preview
The model favours Rosario Central to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are currently tied on points in the standings, but Rosario Central holds a slight edge with a better goal tally, having scored 20 goals compared to Talleres Cordoba's 17. Despite a recent dip in form, Rosario Central's overall record this season has been solid, with eight wins in 16 matches, showcasing their ability to find the net more consistently. In contrast, Talleres Cordoba has struggled recently, with just one win in their last five matches. This lack of form has seen them drop points, which is reflected in their current position. While they have a respectable goal difference of +4, their recent performances indicate a team struggling to maintain the momentum needed to compete at the top of the table. The model gives Rosario Central a win probability of approximately 55% for this match. However, a caveat exists; if Talleres Cordoba can turn around their recent form and leverage home advantage, they could pose a significant challenge. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches. Rosario Central average 1.2 goals per game.
Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 1.12 goals per match. Rosario Central score 1.21 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.6% probability.
Rosario Central have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rosario Central are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.73 | 2.69 | 3.00 | 2.39 | 1.46 | 2.01 | 1.70 | |
| 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.81 | 2.70 | 3.09 | 2.69 | 1.49 | — | — | |
| 2.48 | 2.83 | 2.68 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 2.70 | 2.90 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 2.70 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 2.78 | 2.74 | 3.05 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.01 | 1.72 | |
| 2.80 | 2.95 | 2.70 | 2.55 | 1.47 | 2.06 | 1.68 | |
| 2.63 | 2.70 | 2.88 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
Betano | 2.77 | 2.77 | 3.05 | 2.55 | 1.55 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Superbet | 2.72 | 2.95 | 2.92 | 2.55 | 1.52 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.39 | 1.49 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Talleres Cordoba leads 4-2)In the last 10 encounters between Talleres Cordoba and Rosario Central, Talleres Cordoba has won 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and Rosario Central has secured 2 victories. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive wins. Notably, Talleres has shown strength with two 4-1 victories in this span, while Rosario Central's wins have been by tighter margins, indicating that Talleres has often had the upper hand in recent matchups. The most recent win for Rosario Central was in September 2023, highlighting a potential shift in momentum.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTalleres Cordoba have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Talleres Cordoba 0-3 and lost to Talleres Cordoba 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 10L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosario Central have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rosario Central 1-0 and beat Barracas Central 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 7D 9L from the last 34 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTalleres Cordoba
No reported absences
Rosario Central
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Martinez has averaged 4.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Rosario Central 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosario Central have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosario Central player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
