Lincoln vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lincoln vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours Blackburn to win this match against Lincoln, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Blackburn currently sits in 9th place in the Championship standings, having played one match this season. They have secured one point from a draw, scoring two goals while conceding the same amount. This early form, combined with a solid recent record of two wins and two draws in their last five matches, suggests they are finding a rhythm. In contrast, Lincoln is currently positioned 21st after their opening match, which resulted in a loss. They have yet to earn any points this season and have a goal differential of -1. Their recent form shows two wins and three losses in their last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could hinder their performance against a stronger opponent like Blackburn. According to the model, Blackburn has a win probability of approximately 55%, with the projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is Lincoln's potential to improve their form and capitalize on home advantage, which could make this a closer contest than anticipated. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Lincoln manage games at home, conceding just 1.59 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.
Lincoln have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Lincoln are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lincoln vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.26 | 3.32 | 3.04 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.35 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.97 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 2.21 | 3.15 | 2.94 | 1.94 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.28 | 3.32 | 3.05 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
| 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.00 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.68 | 2.07 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.10 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Blackburn leads 2-0)In the last two matches between Lincoln and Blackburn, Blackburn has won both, with a record of 2 wins and 0 draws. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Blackburn, with a narrow 1-0 victory in their most recent friendly and a more decisive 4-1 win in the League Cup. This suggests that while Lincoln has been competitive in at least one match, Blackburn's overall performance has been dominant, with Lincoln yet to secure a victory in this head-to-head history.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | LDWWD |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | DLWWD |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 19 | Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | DLDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLincoln have won 1 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lincoln 1-1 and drew with Lincoln 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 6L from the last 17 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Blackburn have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Blackburn 2-1 and drew with Lincoln 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
11 playersLincoln3
Blackburn8
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
W. Finnie has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Lincoln have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Blackburn 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lincoln have generated 1.77 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lincoln player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
