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Malisheva vs Hibernian Prediction, Tips & Odds

Malisheva vs Hibernian

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Malisheva
WWWLW
2 - 0
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Referee: R. Lissorgue
Hibernian
WWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.5%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 62.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.0% vs 59.5%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Hibernian to win against Malisheva, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hibernian has shown solid form recently, with three wins in their last five matches. This winning trend is crucial as they aim to advance in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Their ability to secure victories, particularly in the latter part of their recent matches, indicates a team gaining momentum. Malisheva, while also securing three wins in their last five, has experienced inconsistency with alternating results. This pattern of form could be a concern, especially when facing a team like Hibernian that is looking to build on their recent successes. For Malisheva, maintaining a steady performance will be vital if they are to upset the odds. The model gives Hibernian a strong win probability, reflecting their recent form and overall capabilities. However, the unpredictability of knockout matches means that an early goal or a lapse in concentration could shift the dynamics in Malisheva's favour. For a comprehensive understanding of how the prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details their in-house model, which assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Malisheva Win32%5.42
Draw20%4.14
Hibernian Win49%1.50
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7755.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6857.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Malisheva 0-1 Hibernian
6.8414.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Hibernian -0.0
1.2043%

Hibernian have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.84
14.8%
0-2
6.94
14.6%
1-2
7.20
14.0%
1-1
7.31
13.9%
0-3
10.06
10.1%
1-3
10.68
9.5%

Our model projects a 0-1 Hibernian win as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Malisheva
-0.0
3.99
Hibernian
+0.0
1.20
Malisheva
-0.5
5.00
Hibernian
+0.5
1.52
Malisheva
-1.5
11.00
Hibernian
+1.5
2.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Hibernian are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Malisheva vs Hibernian
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
5.104.001.551.702.101.731.93
Marathonbet
5.854.301.481.652.171.751.94
Betfair
5.504.201.471.732.001.801.91
Pinnacle
5.634.311.471.692.11
SBO
4.843.551.47
William Hill
5.504.001.501.702.05
Bet365
4.504.331.531.652.201.801.91
1xBet
5.894.301.491.652.171.751.97
Unibet
6.004.101.501.701.981.801.87
Betano
5.204.251.531.652.151.751.95
Superbet
5.304.001.541.781.921.871.85
BetVictor
5.754.331.501.622.121.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XMalisheva or Draw
52%2.39
12Malisheva or Hibernian
80%1.18
X2Draw or Hibernian
68%1.11

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Malisheva leads 1-0)
1 Malisheva0 Draw0 Hibernian
23 Jul
Malisheva
1-0
Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League

Malisheva has won the only recorded match against Hibernian, resulting in a 1-0 victory. This indicates a narrow win for Malisheva, suggesting that the match was closely contested. With no draws or wins for Hibernian in their head-to-head history, it highlights a one-sided record, albeit based on a very small sample size. The low scoreline reflects a tightly fought game, with Hibernian yet to find the net in this matchup.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
MalishevaHibernian
2.25Goals p.g.1.52
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.22
33%Clean sheets19%
67%Win rate44%
3.42Avg goals in match2.74
xG per game1.08
xGA per game-0.22
Possession %42%
Shots on target / game2.7
Corners per game4.3
Malisheva
Recent Form

Malisheva have won 6 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hibernian 2-0 and beat Vllaznia Shkodër 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: MalishevaAll competitions
23 Jul
Malisheva
2-0
Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League
15 Jul
Malisheva
5-0
Vllaznia Shkodër
UEFA Europa Conference League
31 May
Malisheva
3-2
Drita
Superliga
24 May
Llapi
3-2
Malisheva
Superliga
17 May
Malisheva
4-1
Drenica Skënderaj
Superliga
10 May
Ferizaj
1-1
Malisheva
Superliga
8
Win
67%
1
Draw
8%
3
Lost
25%
Hibernian
Recent Form

Hibernian have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hibernian 1-2 and lost to Malisheva 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 10L from the last 27 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: HibernianAll competitions
09 Aug
Rangers
1-2
Hibernian
Premiership
06 Aug
Hibernian
2-1
Shkendija
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Hibernian
1-2
Motherwell
Premiership
30 Jul
Hibernian
4-1
Malisheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Malisheva
2-0
Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Hibernian
2-1
Brondby
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
44%
5
Draw
19%
10
Lost
37%

Lineups

Confirmed

Malisheva3-5-2Confirmed

27Andreas SkovgaardDEF
2Arlind VeliuDEF
5Dreni KryeziuDEF
55Kesli ShaniDEF
99Dzemal IbishiFWD
1Ilir AvdyliGK
7Kreshnik UkaMID
17Vüsal İsgändärliMID
10Laurent XhylaniMID
30Donart VitijaMID
6Besnik FeratiMID
33Redjep MuratiDEF
20Arber PiraDEF
3Omer BajraktariDEF
22Etnik KryeziuFWD
9Krenar DulajFWD
25Adnan KanurićGK
23Enes MorinaGK
4Ardian SopajMID
8Mark BushajMID
14Korab LumaMID
18Valjmir NafiuMID
19Emir ZogajMID

Hibernian4-3-3Confirmed

15Jack IredaleDEF
5Warren O'HoraDEF
21Jordan ObitaDEF
4Grant HanleyDEF
9Nathan LoweFWD
7Owen EldingFWD
10Martin BoyleFWD
1Raphael SallingerGK
14Miguel Changa ChaiwaMID
25Felix PasslackMID
8Josh MulliganMID
6Jason KerrDEF
18Thibault KlidjéFWD
13Jordan SmithGK
35Freddie OwensGK
3Adam MayorMID
11Joe NewellMID
20Rudi Allan MolotnikovMID
27Kanayochukwu MegwaMID
30Jacob MacIntyreMID
32Josh CampbellMID
47Azeem AbdulaiMID
12Chris CaddenMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Malisheva

No reported absences

Hibernian

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (57%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (55.7%)
Value Bets
Malisheva Win5.42 (31.7%)
Hibernian Win1.50 (48.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (43%)
BTTS No1.94 (44.3%)
Speculative
Draw4.14 (19.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

R. Lissorgue has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by R. Lissorgue to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Malisheva average 2.3 goals per match at home; Hibernian 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Hibernian have generated 1.08 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hibernian player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.