Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction, Tips & Odds
Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj
Match Preview
The model favours CFR 1907 Cluj to win against Alashkert, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. CFR Cluj has shown a consistent level of performance this season, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. This solid form reflects their ability to compete effectively, particularly in tight contests, which is crucial in knockout scenarios like this. On the other hand, Alashkert's recent record shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have managed to secure victories, the two draws indicate some inconsistency that could be a concern when facing a more stable side like Cluj. Their ability to convert chances into goals may also be tested against a disciplined opponent. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% in favour of CFR Cluj, with a key market percentage indicating a strong likelihood of a Cluj victory. However, a potential caveat is that if Alashkert can leverage home advantage and produce an unexpected strong performance, they could challenge Cluj's dominance. The full method behind this prediction is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, created by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises expected goals and actual results to analyse fixtures.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Alashkert have kept a clean sheet in 23% of matches. CFR 1907 Cluj average 1.0 goals per game.
Alashkert manage games at home, conceding just 0.92 goals per match. CFR 1907 Cluj score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.
CFR 1907 Cluj have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 CFR 1907 Cluj win as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. CFR 1907 Cluj are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
Betano | 3.65 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (CFR 1907 Cluj leads 2-0)CFR 1907 Cluj leads the head-to-head record against Alashkert with 2 wins from their last 2 encounters. The scorelines indicate a lopsided series, with Cluj winning 5-0 and 2-0, reflecting a significant advantage in both matches. Alashkert has not managed to score against Cluj in these fixtures, highlighting a clear struggle in their offensive performance. Given the two matches occurred in 2018, Alashkert will be looking to improve upon their previous results against Cluj, who have shown dominance historically in this matchup.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAlashkert have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Alashkert 1-1 and beat Alashkert 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 2L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
CFR 1907 Cluj have won 2 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 and beat Neftchi Baku 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 5D 0L from the last 9 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAlashkert
No reported absences
CFR 1907 Cluj
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Alashkert average 1.5 goals per match at home; CFR 1907 Cluj 1.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CFR 1907 Cluj have generated 0.70 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 1.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CFR 1907 Cluj player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
