FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Tammeka, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. FC Levadia Tallinn is currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga table, having played 19 matches with an impressive record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss. Their goal difference of +33, with 49 goals scored and only 16 conceded, highlights their offensive strength and defensive solidity. Recent form shows they have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating they are maintaining a competitive edge as the season progresses. On the other hand, Tammeka finds itself in 5th place, with a record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses from 17 matches. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 21, resulting in a goal difference of -1. While Tammeka has shown some resilience in their recent form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, they still trail significantly behind the league leaders in terms of overall performance and consistency. The model estimates a win probability of 67% for FC Levadia Tallinn, suggesting a strong likelihood of victory. However, a potential caveat is that Tammeka's recent form could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge the leaders. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this data-driven approach to inform their insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 FC Levadia Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature FC Levadia Tallinn clean sheets, in line with their 25% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.16 | 6.20 | 11.50 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.91 | 1.76 | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.23 | 5.80 | 9.75 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.98 | 4.00 | 2.75 | 1.16 | 4.20 | — | — | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 9-0)In the last 10 matches between FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka, FC Levadia Tallinn has won 9 times, with 1 draw and no wins for Tammeka. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by FC Levadia Tallinn, with several heavy victories, including a 4-0 and a 4-2 win. Tammeka's only draw came in a tightly contested 2-2 match, highlighting that while there have been a few close encounters, the overall trend has been one-sided. Tammeka has not managed to secure a win against FC Levadia Tallinn in this period.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 50 | WDWLD |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 39 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 35 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Vaprus | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Tammeka | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  Laagri | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 | WLDLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 50 | -33 | 16 | LWWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Levadia Tallinn have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 and beat FC Levadia Tallinn 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 5L from the last 32 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tammeka 0-1 and lost to Kalju Nomme 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 3D 13L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn average 2.4 goals per match at home; Tammeka 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 62% of their matches and averaging 2.4 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.