Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Fredrikstad, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in third place in the Eliteserien, having secured 23 points from 11 matches with a strong record of seven wins, two draws, and just two losses. Their offensive capability is evident, having scored 28 goals while conceding only 11, resulting in a goal difference of 17. With four wins in their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt is clearly in formidable form. On the other hand, Fredrikstad finds itself in a less favourable position, sitting in tenth place with 14 points from 11 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, recording four wins, two draws, and five losses. They have struggled defensively, allowing 20 goals while scoring only 15, leading to a negative goal difference of five. Recent form indicates they have only managed one win in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in securing results. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a strong win probability based on their current form and standings. However, a potential caveat is Fredrikstad's ability to surprise, as they have shown resilience in their recent draws. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 72% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 1.13 | 8.20 | 14.75 | 1.23 | 3.44 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 1.15 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 1.15 | 8.97 | 13.24 | 1.27 | 3.68 | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 6.66 | 10.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 7.50 | 13.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.17 | 8.50 | 12.00 | 1.28 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.15 | 8.90 | 16.00 | 1.23 | 3.44 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
| 1.16 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 1.29 | 3.20 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
Betano | 1.17 | 7.10 | 13.50 | 1.30 | 3.35 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
Superbet | 1.16 | 7.70 | 12.00 | 1.28 | 3.45 | 1.82 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.25 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 5-0)The head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad shows Bodo/Glimt winning 5 times, with 1 draw and Fredrikstad not securing any victories in their last 6 encounters. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by Bodo/Glimt's dominance with three matches ending in a two-goal margin or more, including a significant 5-0 win. The lone draw occurred in 2024, suggesting that while Fredrikstad has managed to hold Bodo/Glimt to a stalemate once, they have struggled to find consistent success, with their last win over Bodo/Glimt dating back to 2017.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 28 | WDDLW |
| 2 |  Viking | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 26 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 | WLLWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 20 | DWLWL |
| 6 |  Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 16 |  Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 7 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 12 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 4-0 and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 4D 4L from the last 29 games (72% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Fredrikstad have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Valerenga 3-1 and drew with Sandefjord 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 10L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Fredrikstad
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Hagenes has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Hagenes to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Fredrikstad 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 72% of them. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
