Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours Lillestrom to win against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Lillestrom currently sits in 4th place in the league, having accumulated 19 points from 11 matches with a record of 6 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their goal difference of +6 highlights a solid offensive and defensive balance, with 17 goals scored and 11 conceded, indicating they have the capability to both score and restrict their opponents effectively. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is positioned 12th in the standings, with 12 points from their 11 games. Their season record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, combined with a goal difference of -5, suggests they have struggled defensively, conceding 17 goals while scoring only 12. Their recent form, with just one win in the last five matches, adds to the challenges they face heading into this fixture. The model gives Lillestrom a strong win probability, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Lillestrom winning by at least one goal. However, a potential risk for Lillestrom could be their recent dip in form, with only one win in their last five matches. For a complete understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model leverages expected goals and actual results across the season, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Lillestrom have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Lillestrom clean sheets, in line with their 27% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Lillestrom are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.80 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 1.61 | 3.98 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.66 | 4.18 | 5.18 | 1.69 | 2.23 | — | — | |
| 1.64 | 3.67 | 4.46 | 1.65 | 2.26 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.65 | 4.08 | 5.12 | 1.69 | 2.20 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.35 | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.65 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.45 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.64 | 2.09 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Lillestrom leads 7-2)In the last nine matches between Lillestrom and KFUM Oslo, Lillestrom has won 7 times while KFUM Oslo has secured 2 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable trend for Lillestrom, highlighted by several convincing wins, including a 7-2 result in a friendly. While KFUM Oslo did manage a strong 5-0 win in a friendly, such results are rare in this matchup. Overall, Lillestrom appears to dominate the head-to-head record, reflecting a pattern of narrow defeats for KFUM Oslo, with their last win occurring in August 2024.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLillestrom have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lillestrom 1-2 and beat Lillestrom 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 13L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 0 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lillestrom 2-1 and lost to Vendsyssel FF 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 15L from the last 28 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersLillestrom4
KFUM Oslo5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Lillestrom have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lillestrom have generated 1.18 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lillestrom player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
