Start vs Rosenborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Start vs Rosenborg
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win this match against Start, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Rosenborg currently sits in 15th place in the league, having secured 9 points from their 11 matches. Their season form shows a recent uptick, with two wins in their last five games, which may indicate a potential turnaround. Key statistics for Rosenborg include a goal difference of -9, which, while not impressive, is better than Start’s -15, suggesting they have been more competitive in matches. On the other hand, Start finds themselves at the bottom of the league in 16th place, with only 7 points from 12 matches. Their season has been challenging, reflected in their last five matches, where they have managed just one win and suffered four losses. With a goal tally of 13 but a concerning 28 goals conceded, Start has struggled defensively, which could be a significant factor against a team like Rosenborg. The model indicates a win probability of 40% for Rosenborg, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is that if Start can find a way to tighten their defence and improve their attacking output, they could pose a threat. The full method behind these predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Start vs Rosenborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 3.10 | 3.48 | 2.16 | 1.73 | 2.07 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 3.19 | 3.56 | 2.20 | 1.76 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.85 | 3.09 | 2.20 | 1.71 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.18 | 3.56 | 2.21 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.23 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.22 | 1.72 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
Superbet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.22 | 1.71 | 2.05 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 6-0)In the last seven matches between Start and Rosenborg, Rosenborg has won six times, with one draw, while Start has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance from Rosenborg, with only one match finishing with a margin of fewer than two goals. Notably, Start's last win against Rosenborg dates back several years, highlighting a significant trend in favor of Rosenborg. The overall pattern suggests that matches tend to be low-scoring for Start, as they have only managed to score once in their last seven encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 28 | WDDLW |
| 2 |  Viking | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 26 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 | WLLWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 20 | DWLWL |
| 6 |  Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | WDLLW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 16 | Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 7 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStart have won 4 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Start 2-0 and lost to Start 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 12L from the last 24 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosenborg have won 1 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KFUM Oslo 2-0 and lost to Viking 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 11L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStart
No reported absences
Rosenborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Start have averaged 2.6 corners per match at home; Rosenborg 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.30 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
