Viking vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Viking vs Sandefjord
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Sandefjord, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Viking is currently leading the Eliteserien, sitting at the top of the table with 27 points from 10 matches, boasting an impressive record of 9 wins and just 1 loss. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, with 29 goals scored and only 10 conceded, resulting in a healthy goal difference of 19. With four wins in their last five matches, Viking is in solid form, demonstrating both consistency and attacking strength. On the other hand, Sandefjord finds itself in 8th place with 14 points, having played one more match than Viking. Their season has been a mixed bag, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. While they have managed to score 10 goals, they have also conceded 13, leading to a negative goal difference of -3. Their recent form includes two wins but has been marred by inconsistency, as reflected in their last five matches, where they secured only two victories. The model indicates a high probability of a Viking win, with a suggested score of 3-1. However, a potential pitfall for Viking could be complacency, especially against a mid-table side like Sandefjord. For a detailed understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Viking have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Viking win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Viking clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Viking are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Viking vs Sandefjord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.75 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.28 | 5.75 | 8.50 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 | 1.36 | 3.10 | — | — | |
| 1.28 | 6.13 | 8.65 | 1.37 | 3.06 | — | — | |
| 1.28 | 5.13 | 6.76 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.28 | 5.75 | 9.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.31 | 5.93 | 8.75 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 1.28 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 1.34 | 2.95 | 1.64 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.25 | 1.39 | 2.87 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 1.30 | 5.65 | 7.70 | 1.38 | 2.90 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.50 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Viking and Sandefjord, Viking has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Sandefjord. This record illustrates a clear dominance by Viking, particularly with several matches showcasing their ability to score multiple goals, including a notable 4-3 victory and a 3-0 win. The lone victory for Sandefjord came in 2022, indicating a struggle to maintain competitiveness, while the draw in 2022 suggests some tight contests. Overall, Viking has consistently outperformed Sandefjord in this head-to-head series.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 28 | WDDLW |
| 2 | Viking | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 26 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 | WLLWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 20 | DWLWL |
| 6 |  Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 16 |  Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 7 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonViking have won 10 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 6-3 and beat Viking 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 3D 3L from the last 24 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sandefjord have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Molde 2-1 and lost to Lillestrom 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 6L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersViking
No reported absences
Sandefjord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Viking have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viking have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viking player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
