IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Levadia Tallinn has shown a stronger form in recent weeks, with three wins in their last five matches, including a solid performance that has seen them secure victories against various opponents. Their recent consistency is highlighted by their ability to bounce back from a single loss, demonstrating resilience and a capacity to compete effectively. In contrast, IFK Goteborg has struggled recently, managing just one win and one draw in their last five matches, with three losses weighing down their form. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to build momentum, which is crucial in knockout competitions. The lack of recent success could impact player confidence and performance on the day of the match. The model assigns a win probability of approximately 60% to FC Levadia Tallinn, indicating a strong likelihood of victory. However, a potential caveat is that if IFK Goteborg can harness home advantage and find their form, they could pose a significant challenge. The full methodology used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
IFK Goteborg have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 IFK Goteborg win as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature IFK Goteborg clean sheets, in line with their 6% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. IFK Goteborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
IFK Goteborg vs FC Levadia Tallinn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.40 | 4.45 | 6.60 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.77 | 1.85 | |
| 1.43 | 4.80 | 5.85 | 1.60 | 2.27 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.43 | 4.68 | 5.17 | 1.57 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 1.42 | 3.90 | 5.42 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.46 | 4.89 | 5.96 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.45 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 1.53 | 2.28 | 1.68 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 4.35 | 5.50 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Superbet | 1.49 | 4.35 | 5.40 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.74 | 1.97 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between IFK Goteborg and FC Levadia Tallinn, FC Levadia Tallinn leads with 1 win and no draws or wins for IFK Goteborg. The only match played ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of FC Levadia Tallinn. This result indicates a clear victory for Levadia, showcasing a one-sided outcome. As it stands, IFK Goteborg has yet to secure a win against Levadia in their meetings, reflecting a challenging historical matchup for them.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonIFK Goteborg have won 3 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kalmar FF 3-2 and lost to Gent 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 8L from the last 17 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 12 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1 and beat IFK Goteborg 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 5L from the last 32 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedIFK Goteborg4-3-3Confirmed
FC Levadia Tallinn4-3-1-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersIFK Goteborg
No reported absences
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
IFK Goteborg average 1.5 goals per match at home; FC Levadia Tallinn 2.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
IFK Goteborg have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 35% of their matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. IFK Goteborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
