Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Ham-Kam, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt is currently in third place in the league, having played 11 matches with a strong record of seven wins, two draws, and two losses. They have scored 28 goals while conceding only 11, resulting in a goal difference of 17. Their recent form has been impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, highlighting their attacking prowess and defensive stability. In contrast, Ham-Kam sits in sixth place after 10 matches, with five wins, two draws, and three losses. Their goal tally stands at 17, while they have conceded 16, leading to a modest goal difference of just one. Although they have shown resilience, managing two wins and two draws in their last five matches, they have struggled to maintain consistency, which could be a concern heading into this fixture. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a strong win probability, reflecting their superior league position and recent form. However, one caveat is that if Ham-Kam can tighten their defence and exploit any lapses from Bodo/Glimt, they could pose a significant challenge. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines the in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.07 | 9.75 | 26.00 | 1.20 | 4.33 | 1.90 | 1.77 | |
| 1.06 | 11.75 | 24.00 | 1.16 | 4.10 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 1.06 | 13.00 | 29.00 | 1.17 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 1.08 | 13.68 | 22.28 | 1.19 | 4.63 | — | — | |
| 1.10 | 9.45 | 15.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.08 | 10.00 | 23.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.10 | 9.50 | 19.00 | 1.22 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.07 | 13.80 | 27.00 | 1.16 | 4.05 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 1.10 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 1.22 | 3.75 | 1.94 | 1.74 | |
Betano | 1.10 | 9.00 | 21.00 | 1.22 | 3.95 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 1.11 | 9.00 | 16.00 | 1.25 | 3.65 | 1.95 | 1.77 |
BetVictor | 1.06 | 10.00 | 20.00 | 1.18 | 4.33 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 6-1)In their last nine encounters, Bodo/Glimt has won six times, Ham-Kam has claimed one victory, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Bodo/Glimt achieving three wins by a margin of three goals, while Ham-Kam's single win was a narrow 1-0 result. Notably, Bodo/Glimt has often dominated, with several convincing victories, and the only high-scoring draw occurred recently, ending 4-4. Ham-Kam last triumphed over Bodo/Glimt in May 2024, suggesting a challenging trend for them in this matchup.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Ham-Kam | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 21 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 16 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Union St. Gilloise 3-2 and beat Lillestrom 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 5D 4L from the last 36 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ham-Kam have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ham-Kam 0-3 and lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 12L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBodo/Glimt4-4-2Confirmed
Ham-Kam5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersBodo/Glimt4
Ham-Kam1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Ham-Kam 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
