Lillestrom vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lillestrom vs Viking

EliteserienRegular Season - 11
Lillestrom
#4 · Eliteserien
WWWLL
VS
Viking
#2 · Eliteserien
WLDWW

Match Preview

The model favours Viking to win against Lillestrom, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Viking currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of nine wins from ten matches. Their attack has been prolific, scoring 29 goals while conceding just 10, resulting in a goal difference of +19. Viking's recent form has been particularly strong, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating a team in excellent shape. Lillestrom, on the other hand, occupies the fourth position in the league table but has struggled recently, recording just one win in their last five matches. Their overall record of six wins, one draw, and four losses reflects inconsistency, particularly with their defensive performance, which has seen them concede 11 goals this season. While they have shown potential, their recent form raises concerns about their ability to challenge the league leaders effectively. The model estimates Viking's win probability at around 70%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Lillestrom's home advantage, which could influence the match dynamics. For a detailed breakdown of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 6-2)
2 Lillestrom1 Draw6 Viking
Sept 24
Lillestrom
1-4
Viking
Eliteserien
May 24
Viking
1-4
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
Aug 23
Lillestrom
1-3
Viking
Eliteserien
Apr 23
Viking
2-0
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
Feb 23
Viking
2-2
Lillestrom
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 22
Viking
0-3
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
Jul 22
Lillestrom
0-1
Viking
Eliteserien
Oct 21
Viking
5-1
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
Sept 21
Lillestrom
-
Viking
Eliteserien
May 21
Lillestrom
1-3
Viking
Eliteserien

Viking hold the edge in this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 2 Lillestrom wins. The record points to a tie Viking have controlled for years, though the draws show Lillestrom have at times kept it tight.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Tromso
1594226151131
WWDDL
2
Viking
12100231121930
WLWWW
3
Bodo/Glimt
1392231112029
WWDWW
4
Lillestrom
138142112925
WWLLW
5
Molde
136252117420
LDWLW
6
Brann
146172822619
WWLLL
14
Aalesund
132651828-1012
LDDDW
15
Kristiansund BK
133371121-1012
DLLLW
16
Start
141491433-197
LLLWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
LillestromHome
4W0D2L
6 playedGF 13 · GA 72.00 pts/game
VikingAway
4W0D2L
6 playedGF 8 · GA 52.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LillestromViking
1.89Goals p.g.2.52
1.43Goals conceded p.g.0.88
29%Clean sheets40%
46%Win rate76%
3.32Avg goals in match3.4
1.39xG per game1.93
-0.12xGA per game-0.89
52%Possession %52%
4.3Shots on target / game5.6
5.4Corners per game5.9
Lillestrom
Recent Form

Lillestrom have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat KFUM Oslo 2-1 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 11L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LillestromAll competitions
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2-1
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0-2
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3-1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2-3
Degerfors IF
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lillestrom
Friendlies Clubs
25 May
Ham-Kam
2-0
Lillestrom
Eliteserien
13
Win
46%
4
Draw
14%
11
Lost
39%
Viking
Recent Form

Viking have won 8 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 and drew with Sonderjyske 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 3D 3L from the last 25 games (76% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: VikingAll competitions
18 Jul
Viking
2-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-0
Viking
Eliteserien
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1-1
Viking
Friendlies Clubs
24 May
Kristiansund BK
1-2
Viking
Eliteserien
16 May
Viking
6-3
Start
Eliteserien
10 May
KFUM Oslo
0-2
Viking
Eliteserien
19
Win
76%
3
Draw
12%
3
Lost
12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lillestrom

No reported absences

Viking

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Lillestrom vs Viking Predictions, Stats, H2H - 22 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt