Lillestrom vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lillestrom vs Viking


Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Lillestrom, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Viking currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of nine wins from ten matches. Their attack has been prolific, scoring 29 goals while conceding just 10, resulting in a goal difference of +19. Viking's recent form has been particularly strong, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating a team in excellent shape. Lillestrom, on the other hand, occupies the fourth position in the league table but has struggled recently, recording just one win in their last five matches. Their overall record of six wins, one draw, and four losses reflects inconsistency, particularly with their defensive performance, which has seen them concede 11 goals this season. While they have shown potential, their recent form raises concerns about their ability to challenge the league leaders effectively. The model estimates Viking's win probability at around 70%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Lillestrom's home advantage, which could influence the match dynamics. For a detailed breakdown of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 6-2)



















Viking hold the edge in this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 2 Lillestrom wins. The record points to a tie Viking have controlled for years, though the draws show Lillestrom have at times kept it tight.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 31 | WWDDL | |
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 30 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 29 | WWDWW | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 25 | WWLLW | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 20 | LDWLW | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 19 | WWLLL | |
| 14 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 | LDDDW | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW | |
| 16 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 7 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Lillestrom have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat KFUM Oslo 2-1 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 11L from the last 28 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Viking have won 8 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 and drew with Sonderjyske 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 3D 3L from the last 25 games (76% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Lillestrom
No reported absences
Viking
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


