Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win this match against Sandefjord, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in third place in the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of eight wins, two draws, and only two losses from their twelve matches. They have scored 30 goals while conceding just 11, resulting in a goal difference of +19. Their recent form has been strong, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating they are in good shape heading into this fixture. In contrast, Sandefjord is positioned ninth in the league with a record of four wins, three draws, and five losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding 15 goals while managing to score just 12, which gives them a goal difference of -3. Their recent form is concerning; they have only one win and two draws from their last five matches, which suggests they may be struggling to find consistency and momentum. The model output indicates a significant advantage for Bodo/Glimt, with a high probability of winning this match. However, one caveat to consider is that Sandefjord could benefit from playing at home, where they might find an extra edge. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 7.00 | 5.40 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 3.10 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 7.90 | 5.50 | 1.31 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 8.26 | 6.15 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 3.24 | — | — | |
| 6.66 | 5.32 | 1.34 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 8.05 | 5.62 | 1.34 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 2.95 | 1.50 | 2.33 | |
Betano | 7.40 | 5.20 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 2.92 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
Superbet | 7.00 | 5.45 | 1.34 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.29 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Sandefjord and Bodo/Glimt, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times, Sandefjord has won once, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided rivalry, with Bodo/Glimt achieving several heavy victories, including a 5-2 win and a 4-1 win. Sandefjord's lone victory came in a close 2-1 match, while the teams have also played to a 1-1 draw. Notably, Sandefjord has not won against Bodo/Glimt in their last seven encounters, which underscores Bodo/Glimt's dominance in this matchup.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 | LLLDL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjord have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Sandefjord 0-3 and drew with Sandefjord 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 9L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 11 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Valerenga 1-2 and drew with Union St. Gilloise 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 5D 4L from the last 36 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersSandefjord2
Bodo/Glimt5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sandefjord have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
