Brann vs Valerenga Prediction, Tips & Odds

Brann vs Valerenga

EliteserienRegular Season - 15
Brann
#6 · Eliteserien
WLWLL
VS
Brann Stadion, Bergen (17,686)
Valerenga
#9 · Eliteserien
WLWLD

Match Preview

The model favours Brann to win against Valerenga, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann currently sits in 8th place in the Eliteserien standings, having played 13 matches with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. They have scored 26 goals while conceding 21, giving them a positive goal difference of 5. Despite their mixed form of two wins and three losses in the last five matches, Brann's overall scoring ability may give them the edge in this matchup. On the other hand, Valerenga is positioned 11th in the table after 12 matches, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. They have struggled offensively, netting only 13 goals while allowing 21, resulting in a negative goal difference of 8. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses over the last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could hinder their chances against Brann. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Brann, with the projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Brann's recent form, which has seen them lose three of their last five matches, suggesting they may be vulnerable if Valerenga can capitalize on any defensive lapses. For further details on how we reached this prediction, see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 7-2)
7 Brann0 Draw2 Valerenga
Sept 25
Brann
3-2
Valerenga
Eliteserien
May 25
Valerenga
2-4
Brann
Eliteserien
Mar 25
Brann
2-1
Valerenga
Friendlies Clubs
Feb 24
Brann
3-0
Valerenga
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 23
Valerenga
1-2
Brann
Eliteserien
Jul 23
Valerenga
3-2
Brann
NM Cupen
Apr 23
Brann
3-1
Valerenga
Eliteserien
Mar 23
Valerenga
-
Brann
Friendlies Clubs
Mar 23
Valerenga
1-3
Brann
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 21
Valerenga
1-0
Brann
Eliteserien

Brann hold the edge in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with 0 draws and 2 Valerenga wins. The record points to a tie Brann have controlled for years, though the draws show Valerenga have at times kept it tight.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Tromso
1594226151131
WWDDL
2
Viking
12100231121930
WLWWW
3
Bodo/Glimt
1392231112029
WWDWW
4
Lillestrom
138142112925
WWLLW
5
Molde
136252117420
LDWLW
6
Brann
146172822619
WWLLL
9
Valerenga
135261922-317
WLWLW
14
Aalesund
132651828-1012
LDDDW
15
Kristiansund BK
133371121-1012
DLLLW
16
Start
141491433-197
LLLWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BrannHome
3W0D3L
6 playedGF 9 · GA 81.50 pts/game
ValerengaAway
1W1D4L
6 playedGF 4 · GA 130.67 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BrannValerenga
1.82Goals p.g.1.85
1.64Goals conceded p.g.1.59
4%Clean sheets22%
36%Win rate48%
3.46Avg goals in match3.44
1.73xG per game1.41
-0.13xGA per game-0.77
57%Possession %53%
5.0Shots on target / game4.6
6.4Corners per game7.3
Brann
Recent Form

Brann have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Start 2-1 and lost to Kristiansund BK 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 13L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BrannAll competitions
12 Jul
Brann
2-1
Start
Eliteserien
03 Jul
Brann
1-2
Kristiansund BK
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Aarhus Fremad
1-2
Brann
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Brann
1-2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
24 May
Bodo/Glimt
3-1
Brann
Eliteserien
20 May
Aalesund
2-1
Brann
Eliteserien
10
Win
36%
5
Draw
18%
13
Lost
46%
Valerenga
Recent Form

Valerenga have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tromso 4-0 and drew with IFK Goteborg 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 10L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ValerengaAll competitions
16 Jul
Valerenga
6-1
Aalesund
Eliteserien
11 Jul
Tromso
4-0
Valerenga
Eliteserien
04 Jul
Valerenga
3-1
Fredrikstad
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Valerenga
1-2
Gais
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jun
IFK Goteborg
1-1
Valerenga
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Valerenga
3-1
Kristiansund BK
Eliteserien
13
Win
48%
4
Draw
15%
10
Lost
37%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Brann

No reported absences

Valerenga

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Brann vs Valerenga Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt