Brann vs Valerenga Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brann vs Valerenga
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win against Valerenga, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann currently sits in 8th place in the Eliteserien standings, having played 13 matches with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. They have scored 26 goals while conceding 21, giving them a positive goal difference of 5. Despite their mixed form of two wins and three losses in the last five matches, Brann's overall scoring ability may give them the edge in this matchup. On the other hand, Valerenga is positioned 11th in the table after 12 matches, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. They have struggled offensively, netting only 13 goals while allowing 21, resulting in a negative goal difference of 8. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses over the last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could hinder their chances against Brann. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Brann, with the projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Brann's recent form, which has seen them lose three of their last five matches, suggesting they may be vulnerable if Valerenga can capitalize on any defensive lapses. For further details on how we reached this prediction, see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Brann win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brann vs Valerenga| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.42 | 2.80 | 1.42 | 2.60 | |
| 1.64 | 4.25 | 4.40 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.42 | 2.61 | |
| 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.44 | 2.70 | |
| 1.71 | 4.42 | 4.45 | 1.42 | 2.96 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 4.05 | 4.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.70 | 4.34 | 4.39 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.42 | 2.66 | |
| 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 1.44 | 2.55 | 1.46 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.15 | 1.44 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.57 |
Superbet | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.15 | 1.43 | 2.70 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Brann and Valerenga, Brann has won 7 times, while Valerenga has secured 2 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Brann to dominate, as they have achieved several convincing wins, including a 4-2 and a 3-0 victory. Valerenga's wins have been narrower, with their most recent success being a close 1-0. The lack of draws suggests a clear competitive edge for Brann in this fixture, as they have not lost to Valerenga since October 2021.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 37 | WDWWL |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 | LLWWL |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 24 | DWLDW |
| 6 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 22 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Valerenga | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 13 | LDLDD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 10 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrann have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Apollon Limassol 0-1 and beat Rosenborg 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 15L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Valerenga have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brann 2-3 and drew with IFK Goteborg 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 10L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersBrann2
Valerenga3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Brann have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Valerenga 7.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
